MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe19b02b324d24ded95c879cc30b544dee7278bfedad14e6bc7b88da15725a6ba

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: New York Metsof New York Mets, San Diego Padres
Resolved: Jun 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,111,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,190,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,111,012 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb91a…3987backed San Diego Padres	50c	200,000$100,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100,000	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+15.2wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed New York Mets	50c	197,029$98,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98,514.34	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b21…a230backed New York Mets	62c	169,433$105,692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63,741.21	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres	28c	139,578$39,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,578.58	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets	74c	100,786$74,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,474.31	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed San Diego Padres	22c	42,891$9,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,308.97	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Mets	51c	37,412$19,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,331.91	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed San Diego Padres	0c	34,681$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.32	406	29.1%118 W · 288 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets	50c	33,000$16,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,500	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres	33c	27,772$9,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,173.02	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked San Diego Padres	49c	20,000$9,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,800	603	50.1%302 W · 301 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres	22c	19,854$4,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,342.78	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres	37c	19,797$7,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,363.02	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres	39c	19,193$7,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,485.36	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres	34c	15,960$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,399.5	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets	50c	14,634$7,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,317	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres	31c	13,796$4,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,216.74	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed New York Mets	60c	13,311$7,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,328.79	238	46.6%111 W · 127 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13b7…c98fbacked San Diego Padres	10c	12,292$1,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,273.81	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…cd53backed San Diego Padres	50c	12,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres	34c	11,638$4,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,008.14	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres	27c	11,377$3,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,114.1	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed San Diego Padres	50c	9,854$4,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,926.77	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5762…90eebacked San Diego Padres	49c	8,980$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets	50c	6,983$3,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,512.59	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed San Diego Padres	13c	6,017$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.8	522	28%146 W · 376 L	-57.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres	18c	5,639$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.65	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked San Diego Padres	0c	5,600$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed New York Mets	52c	5,200$2,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,496	122	55.7%68 W · 54 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked San Diego Padres	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	1,151	49.2%566 W · 585 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets	55c	4,766$2,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,165.48	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed San Diego Padres	49c	4,544$2,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,226.56	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets	64c	4,416$2,846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,569.74	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked New York Mets	51c	4,326$2,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,105.05	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed San Diego Padres	24c	3,926$942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.32	319	58.6%187 W · 132 L	+27.3wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed San Diego Padres	50c	3,918$1,959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,959	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres	31c	3,726$1,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,162.7	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed San Diego Padres	51c	3,555$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed San Diego Padres	50c	3,232$1,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,616	285	53.3%152 W · 133 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed San Diego Padres	19c	3,075$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.92	536	44.6%239 W · 297 L	-11.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed San Diego Padres	2c	3,002$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.69	1,180	7.2%85 W · 1,095 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed San Diego Padres	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+6.2wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,469.97	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres	49c	2,991$1,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,465.78	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets	73c	2,919$2,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.88	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Diego Padres	41c	2,810$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140.77	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed San Diego Padres	36c	2,781$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.94	792	55.6%440 W · 352 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets	68c	2,556$1,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.84	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets	51c	2,489$1,265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,223.7	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed San Diego Padres	23c	2,479$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+5.4wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf04b…4778backed San Diego Padres	10c	2,436$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed San Diego Padres	1c	2,145$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	585	2.1%12 W · 573 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres	23c	2,102$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.27	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed San Diego Padres	50c	2,098$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	575	48%276 W · 299 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed New York Mets	64c	2,055$1,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.73	595	49.7%296 W · 299 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8af2…dca8backed New York Mets	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked San Diego Padres	50c	1,950$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.47	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+6.8wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Mets	53c	1,703$906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.82	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets	50c	1,600$797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803.35	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets	75c	1,572$1,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.05	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed New York Mets	65c	1,538$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.46	222	57.2%127 W · 95 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked San Diego Padres	9c	1,480$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.2	149	43.6%65 W · 84 L	-17.3wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x835e…4729backed San Diego Padres	33c	1,411$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.55	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.7wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc0f…b9d0backed San Diego Padres	5c	1,349$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.46	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	-6.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed San Diego Padres	30c	1,321$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.11	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed San Diego Padres	30c	1,264$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.48	1,121	44.1%494 W · 627 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked San Diego Padres	34c	1,214$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.71	1,630	55.2%899 W · 731 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed San Diego Padres	41c	1,182$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.12	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked San Diego Padres	27c	1,165$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.8	726	55.4%402 W · 324 L	+40.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed San Diego Padres	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	252	47.6%120 W · 132 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed San Diego Padres	35c	1,100$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387	206	48.1%99 W · 107 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked San Diego Padres	10c	1,080$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	305	29.8%91 W · 214 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked New York Mets	51c	1,029$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.41	205	52.7%108 W · 97 L	+12.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cac…1744backed San Diego Padres	50c	1,015$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.61	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed New York Mets	49c	999.88$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.94	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked San Diego Padres	4c	890$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.48	158	40.5%64 W · 94 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked San Diego Padres	15c	878.46$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.2	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	-10.4wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-34%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed San Diego Padres	34c	860$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.6	230	36.1%83 W · 147 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed San Diego Padres	34c	855.18$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.76	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed San Diego Padres	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked San Diego Padres	51c	784.31$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	212	48.1%102 W · 110 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked San Diego Padres	39c	781.69$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.91	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed San Diego Padres	50c	780.48$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.24	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed San Diego Padres	38c	777$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.38	707	35.1%248 W · 459 L	-31.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres	41c	772.93$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.9	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked San Diego Padres	34c	767$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.78	1,119	45.5%509 W · 610 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed New York Mets	50c	760$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.82	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed San Diego Padres	40c	749.98$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.99	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Mets	64c	739$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.04	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed San Diego Padres	37c	716.86$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.07	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6862…8c75backed New York Mets	50c	700$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed San Diego Padres	50c	700$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353	398	46.5%185 W · 213 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres	26c	662.06$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.91	791	47.9%379 W · 412 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x526b…5269backed San Diego Padres	15c	644.55$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	114	23.7%27 W · 87 L	-13.6wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked San Diego Padres	34c	642.34$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.1	274	50.7%139 W · 135 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked San Diego Padres	26c	642.31$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167	83	39.8%33 W · 50 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed San Diego Padres	36c	641.22$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.61	1,038	51.7%537 W · 501 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a0…3accbacked San Diego Padres	50c	606.65$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.88	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed New York Mets	51c	588.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.24	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-12.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresthis page
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Over won
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)New York Mets won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. San Diego PadresYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event