MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90805f86e17b4e62d7e39d474dfa93ffd0eb75047d562f89d57e5cd65c214761

Rebuilt 1 minute ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,687 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcc0f…b9d0backed Under	1c	3,593$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.93	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	-6.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over	22c	2,506$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,944.02	299	48.8%146 W · 153 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Under	54c	2,123$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.5	138	50%69 W · 69 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	26c	1,821$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,355.89	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under	63c	1,700$1,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,071	92	50%46 W · 46 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under	59c	1,618$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.58	245	51.8%127 W · 118 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over	23c	1,499$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,156.9	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	37c	1,446$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$913.4	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Under	64c	1,179$758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$757.55	284	53.9%153 W · 131 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over	46c	869.57$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.57	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	70c	861$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.91	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	60c	835.01$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.16	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	41c	698.6$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.56	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	58c	658.4$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.34	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over	35c	634.52$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.67	422	41%173 W · 249 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Under	50c	600$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.01	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under	73c	548.79$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Under	52c	307.48$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.89	134	47.8%64 W · 70 L	-7.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	-8.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f06…3e6ebacked Under	5c	280.57$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.92	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over	53c	264.81$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.81	70	37.1%26 W · 44 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Over	55c	262.56$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.15	145	35.9%52 W · 93 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over	39c	252.84$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.28	289	43.3%125 W · 164 L	-11.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over	42c	238.1$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.1	162	51.9%84 W · 78 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	47c	192.03$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.25	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	77c	183.06$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.96	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	28c	178.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.43	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under	62c	172.42$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.9	904	46.9%424 W · 480 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under	76c	141.05$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.05	792	55.6%440 W · 352 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over	33c	132.54$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.79	1,014	50.4%511 W · 503 L	+52.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over	31c	131$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.39	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	63c	130.2$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.27	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Under	77c	129$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.33	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	35c	112.57$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.75	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under	59c	112.45$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.8	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	36c	102.71$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.21	1,723	50.3%867 W · 856 L	+55.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Over	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	47c	93$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.11	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	71c	92.96$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Over	27c	91.29$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.61	217	67.7%147 W · 70 L	+36.1wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfa03…c8a4backed Under	51c	86.61$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.27	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	35c	84.73$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.49	2,545	45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L	-73.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under	74c	84.58$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.92	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa8…a338backed Over	30c	74.16$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.91	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over	68c	70$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.4	268	60.4%162 W · 106 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8130…5a50backed Over	36c	70$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.5	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+4.9wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Over	31c	65.9$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.22	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8772…982dbacked Over	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	71c	52.36$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.09	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under	58c	51.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.72	577	47.7%275 W · 302 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under	78c	47.24$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.85	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over	40c	44.33$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.61	1,445	50.3%727 W · 718 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over	51c	42.25$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.63	1,083	56.3%610 W · 473 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	68c	40.82$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.86	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Over	35c	40.59$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.38	162	53.1%86 W · 76 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over	43c	40.33$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.99	267	62.2%166 W · 101 L	+43.9wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+58%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Over	30c	39.58$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.71	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9632…a379backed Over	30c	39.58$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.7	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	66c	37.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.59	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under	58c	35.49$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	1,038	51.7%537 W · 501 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under	68c	35.18$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.76	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f12…effbbacked Under	70c	34$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.65	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under	70c	33.79$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.65	304	54.3%165 W · 139 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under	70c	33.79$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.65	198	55.1%109 W · 89 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under	66c	33.51$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.03	1,133	57.2%648 W · 485 L	+35.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3186…2a53backed Under	77c	33.51$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under	77c	33.51$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over	38c	32.35$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.9	726	55.4%402 W · 324 L	+40.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under	69c	32.19$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.21	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under	70c	31.73$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.21	238	54.2%129 W · 109 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over	66c	29.41$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	104	38.5%40 W · 64 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Under	67c	27.97$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.78	324	50.9%165 W · 159 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Under	62c	26.04$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.14	111	58.6%65 W · 46 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x052e…b5d2backed Under	77c	24.15$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.66	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under	65c	23.94$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.55	660	56.2%371 W · 289 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa0…9528backed Under	62c	22.03$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.69	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Under	72c	20.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.86	253	57.3%145 W · 108 L	+14.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Under	79c	18.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	516	56.6%292 W · 224 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5this page
New York Mets vs. San Diego PadresNew York Mets won
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Over won
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)New York Mets won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. San Diego PadresYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event