TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Over49c20,236$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,236.3717248.3%83 W · 89 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over49c18,433$9,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,400.781,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Over50c16,200$8,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0678943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Under54c15,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,099.9444851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under51c13,036$6,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,597.3611,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over49c11,340$5,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,815.574,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under51c9,307$4,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,746.321,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under50c8,954$4,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,477.2328350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under51c7,545$3,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,847.9592554.1%500 W · 425 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under49c6,284$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,078.9919546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c5,938$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,087.811,87452%975 W · 899 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c5,064$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.896,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501,07848.1%518 W · 560 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c4,601$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.78,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c4,132$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.7810,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under49c3,356$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.5855253.1%293 W · 259 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c2,992$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.84,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c2,825$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.945,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under52c2,361$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.554,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over48c2,250$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.981,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under49c1,837$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9849358.8%290 W · 203 L+30.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under51c1,528$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.042,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61287453%463 W · 411 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Over50c1,140$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5708646.5%40 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c983.74$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.1112,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over36c934.69$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.242,09351.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L+44.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under49c930$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.771044.5%316 W · 394 L-23.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under50c920$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46095950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over23c916.85$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.628,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under52c897.34$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.123,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3320456.9%116 W · 88 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under51c793.84$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.489,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over49c790.24$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.6757548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Over48c727.69$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37646946.3%217 W · 252 L-25.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under51c720.84$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.7121550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Over46c652.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1729147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over48c644.92$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.3627351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29461652.8%325 W · 291 L+31.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Under80c512.5$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41015954.7%87 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over50c456.94$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.4790053.6%482 W · 418 L+24.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1c…0be3backed Under55c418.18$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2306145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Over49c336.73$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7313255.3%73 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under50c320$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.273849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6986…3369backed Over48c319.89$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1124547.3%116 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Over49c269.93$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2111255.4%62 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under54c246.91$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.338,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over20c210.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.565,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over20c210.65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.523,46051.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L+107.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0837256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Under51c196.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over49c188$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8817659.7%105 W · 71 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Under52c178.09$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4135849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under52c169.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8816246.3%75 W · 87 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Under51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7067449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over48c131.29$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0744648.7%217 W · 229 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Over55c118.27$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5713558.5%79 W · 56 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Under55c114.43$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4317553.7%94 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under50c112.9$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3299947.5%475 W · 524 L-3.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over50c111$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed Over48c101.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.681553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b8…0effbacked Over48c101.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.421560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8016258%94 W · 68 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508046.3%37 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under51c93.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4630048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over22c90.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.942,14950.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Over49c79.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.388964%57 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Under52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3919152.9%101 W · 90 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92db…68d2backed Over49c69.39$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Under50c66.78$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3917250.6%87 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under76c66.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.652,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under59c62.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.954,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under52c62.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.212,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2220156.2%113 W · 88 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over49c61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.117568%51 W · 24 L+10.6wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+25.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over17c60.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2453644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.722,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Over35c53.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7720944%92 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under49c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0753950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025356.9%144 W · 109 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under59c41.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.595,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under50c40.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.011,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.445545.7%208 W · 247 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74df…2b11backed Under51c38.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.88050%40 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9444…048ebacked Over48c37.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.235752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under52c35.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.732,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3136…3544backed Over51c33.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.332944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under50c32.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2554152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under74c32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.641,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Over48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1218347%86 W · 97 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…ab36backed Over49c30.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.321471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.