MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e0b1aee5bc348029990b973e326fea3cdcbe6fb07385c2aa1cad339ac945386
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 59c | 8,197$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.5 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 41c | 4,852$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.42 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 4,834$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.13 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 56c | 3,298$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.3 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 1,272$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.49 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,266$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 57c | 1,207$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 44c | 990.29$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.73 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 43c | 836.61$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.74 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 46c | 599.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 567.35$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 22c | 487.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.62 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 54c | 468$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.12 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 56c | 427.58$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.14 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 56c | 402.14$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 43c | 370.29$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.22 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 51c | 289.74$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 61c | 244.13$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.36 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 45c | 217.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 32c | 185.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.89 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 54c | 181.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 43c | 152.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 51c | 134.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 64c | 132.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 43c | 128.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 54c | 103.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 54c | 90.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 23c | 83.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 40c | 83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 39c | 80.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Over | 20c | 76.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 21c | 74.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 67c | 68.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 47.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 47.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 43.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Under | 43c | 34.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 44c | 33.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 59c | 24.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed Over | 46c | 23.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 59c | 20.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 55c | 18.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.