TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof Chicago White Sox, Detroit Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,267

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,332 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox52c1,005$519 inLost-$519.248,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Detroit Tigers43c732.52$313 inWon+$419.492,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers77c494.54$382 inWon+$112.9411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox63c363.07$227 inLost-$227.3312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Detroit Tigers73c207.62$152 inWon+$55.444,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox31c207$64 inLost-$64.398,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Detroit Tigers55c109.99$60 inWon+$49.935,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Chicago White Sox33c89.83$30 inLost-$3014535.9%52 W · 93 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago White Sox39c88$34 inLost-$34.3292046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Detroit Tigers70c84.08$59 inWon+$24.882,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Detroit Tigers75c70$52 inWon+$17.651,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Chicago White Sox33c60$20 inLost-$19.812346.3%57 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Chicago White Sox34c40$14 inLost-$13.677836%280 W · 498 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Chicago White Sox35c36$13 inLost-$12.639250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Chicago White Sox55c30.47$17 inLost-$16.831,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc622…8f86backed Detroit Tigers69c21.74$15 inWon+$6.745961%36 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers63c20.99$13 inWon+$7.773,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Detroit Tigers65c19$12 inWon+$6.7472154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Detroit Tigers65c16$10 inWon+$5.6746854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Detroit Tigers71c15.5$11 inWon+$4.526,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1144…4b04backed Detroit Tigers67c15.15$10 inWon+$51872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.