MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e219fb5970e12d4cdabfd87bc5a127a20e9569d2241e0d3eab60af5fd4805f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $354,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 47c | 209,744$99,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,164.15 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 53c | 120,000$63,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,599.97 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Under | 52c | 109,473$56,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,925.91 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Under | 51c | 69,914$35,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,656.25 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 49c | 42,652$20,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,752.3 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…cd53backed Over | 48c | 7,919$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 7,836$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.64 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 48c | 5,247$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.44 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over | 49c | 4,598$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.96 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 4,024$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.62 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Over | 49c | 3,451$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.98 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 3,174$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.33 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 2,254$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.31 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 47c | 2,210$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.25 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 53c | 2,174$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.57 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 2,165$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.31 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1744backed Over | 49c | 2,072$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 2,014$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,770$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.68 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 60c | 1,710$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.63 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 1,210$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.37 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Over | 49c | 1,200$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 52c | 1,180$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.6 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 1,135$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.31 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Over | 49c | 1,054$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.01 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Over | 49c | 1,020$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.55 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Over | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 919.42$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 875.87$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.89 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 48c | 825.46$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.24 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Over | 49c | 796.16$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.04 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 48c | 765.2$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.31 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 40c | 731.79$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.83 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 32c | 687.92$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 52c | 600.87$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.45 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 52c | 576.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 48c | 515.79$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.21 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8af2…dca8backed Under | 52c | 512.48$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.49 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 52c | 487.13$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.31 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 49c | 466$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.53 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 48c | 459.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 420.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 48c | 418.34$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.49 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Over | 49c | 412.24$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.24 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked Under | 59c | 409.86$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Over | 49c | 408.29$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.05 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 51c | 404.82$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.46 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 24c | 386.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Under | 52c | 324.9$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.95 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 52c | 323.8$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.15 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Over | 48c | 300.77$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 49c | 289.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.69 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 283.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 53c | 281.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…abc9backed Over | 46c | 278.07$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.56 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…6452backed Over | 47c | 234.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…53eebacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdd…8271backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…accbbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 52c | 189.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Under | 78c | 183.54$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Under | 71c | 182.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.92 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -15.4wins | -0.25per pick | 73cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 57c | 172.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 52c | 162.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Under | 70c | 152.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 29c | 137.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.87 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 18c | 131$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Under | 53c | 113.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 48c | 110.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…91febacked Over | 49c | 108.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +168.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…6be0backed Over | 49c | 106.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…bd11backed Over | 48c | 105.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 48c | 103.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 54c | 103$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…47e7backed Over | 48c | 102.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 52c | 102.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…9efebacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…da4cbacked Over | 48c | 97.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 47c | 96.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.