MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e37ca874f843dfbf05b0739927175b3cca18145df1350bb948530fce26f46df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Baltimore Orioles, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $433,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $427,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 73,592$33,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,116.48 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 55,555$30,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,999.75 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 36,000$20,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,840 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 28,842$12,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,690.38 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 28,019$14,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,166.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 27,273$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,272.73 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 14,499$6,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,213.98 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 13,597$7,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,082.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 13,062$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,747.23 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 11,921$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,147.36 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 11,116$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.17 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 9,769$4,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348.19 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 8,350$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.11 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 20c | 5,389$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,291.22 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.99 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 4,505$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.55 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 4,496$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.06 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 3,907$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.13 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 3,750$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 3,357$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.59 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 3,352$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.08 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 3,273$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.02 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 3,100$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.49 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 3,008$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.2 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.98 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,889$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,800$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 2,768$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 2,657$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.61 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 2,367$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.88 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…7147backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,201$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,800$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.36 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,693$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.53 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,652$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.97 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 1,624$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.26 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,585$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,543$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.82 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 1,514$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.95 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 1,296$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.54 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 1,270$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.59 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 944.57$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.07 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 880$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.6 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 879.98$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.99 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…d08fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 810.99$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.84 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 809.88$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 797$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.59 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 768.21$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.1 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 768$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.92 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9d…63f9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 765.8$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 763.64$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.64 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 754.99$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.2 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…27a6backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 733.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 709.76$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 693.58$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.33 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 682.28$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.56 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…42f3backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 627.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…775fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 618.56$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 612.3$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.31 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 600$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 600$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 599.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 569.84$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.73 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 517.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.71 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 509.15$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.03 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 497.15$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.73 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 479.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 446.31$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7d…26c4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 441.94$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.87 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 363.55$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.93 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 360$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 337.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 333.65$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.83 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d4…139dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 333.33$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 320.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.75 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 314.29$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 309$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 300.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 289.7$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 282.03$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.91 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…3c59backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 272.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 263.41$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.76 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 257.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…7e61backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 254.04$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 254$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.86 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 243.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.09 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 241.73$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 240$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.09 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 234.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 233$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.85 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.