Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47890d30b2ba28e934cd70a170848ee59ace25b10e45d28c9a2fe218eb4ca14a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 32,967$19,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,208.85 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 29,599$13,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,364.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 46c | 10,706$4,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.6 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 44c | 10,431$4,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,545.49 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 10,388$6,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,541.25 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 54c | 6,323$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.91 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…911fbacked Yes | 46c | 5,413$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 46c | 4,392$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.31 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed No | 54c | 4,280$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.63 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 3,603$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.95 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 46c | 3,537$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.01 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 54c | 3,009$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.25 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 2,748$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.46 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 53c | 2,238$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.88 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 53c | 2,050$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.8 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.01 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,953$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 45c | 1,849$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.2 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,720$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.22 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 54c | 1,574$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.19 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 45c | 1,306$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.49 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,291$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…9a60backed Yes | 46c | 1,243$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.9 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…2983backed Yes | 46c | 1,207$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 47c | 1,085$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca02…76d3backed No | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 60c | 1,029$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.43 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 53c | 999.96$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.98 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 32c | 972.3$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.75 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 53c | 887.99$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.35 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yes | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…8461backed No | 55c | 837.24$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.83 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 53c | 799.98$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.99 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 54c | 749.96$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.48 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 45c | 725.03$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.85 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 40c | 685$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Yes | 38c | 656.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 31c | 640.56$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.57 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 622.58$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.15 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 40c | 600$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.6 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 36c | 582.89$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.84 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 41c | 557.06$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.39 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 32c | 550$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Yes | 46c | 527.13$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.48 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 38c | 471.87$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 42c | 458.44$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.44 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 47c | 413.23$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.22 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 55c | 402.87$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.29 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6d…7aaebacked Yes | 42c | 395$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Yes | 45c | 322$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 152 | 25.7%39 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…e64ebacked Yes | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 250.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076f…26eebacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 236.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 44c | 229.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48f…7f39backed Yes | 6c | 222.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…fba4backed No | 54c | 219.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…29d9backed No | 54c | 219.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Yes | 46c | 219.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…682abacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…4869backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 45c | 208.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 46c | 208.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Yes | 30c | 200.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf2…db43backed Yes | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e7…06c1backed Yes | 23c | 170.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 58c | 156.87$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 54c | 153.41$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes | 42c | 150.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…79c4backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…0f20backed Yes | 25c | 144.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 45c | 136.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…d996backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1d…a213backed Yes | 47c | 130.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 62c | 121.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…86dcbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…1fc9backed Yes | 33c | 109.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…07c4backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…e7dfbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 46c | 107.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…9280backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 46c | 105.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland leading at halftime?this page
- Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime?No won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.