Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e0d53c3997790cca02a2e38b6b1aa4ae3c3444e588ec8b57bcf5c3bb4f1e8dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 19,395$8,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,312.45 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 19,210$8,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,665.17 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 41c | 12,092$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,092.13 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 57c | 9,073$5,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,146.34 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 41c | 8,303$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,885.95 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 5,074$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.68 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 58c | 4,450$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.56 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 41c | 3,611$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.89 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 2,578$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.61 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 60c | 1,973$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.68 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…5b36backed Yes | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 45c | 1,183$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.83 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 18c | 1,130$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 2c | 1,010$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 59c | 1,000$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.58 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…1682backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed No | 60c | 773.97$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.38 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 57c | 650$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…911fbacked Yes | 46c | 608.7$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 2c | 606.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked No | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Yes | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 59c | 588$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.92 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 559$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.81 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 63c | 550$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.18 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…cc57backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…a24abacked Yes | 43c | 457.42$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 41c | 402.44$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.44 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…7852backed Yes | 74c | 401.43$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 77c | 389.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…fba4backed No | 59c | 320$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked No | 58c | 307.75$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.49 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 57c | 300.17$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.1 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…2687backed Yes | 44c | 250.62$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Yes | 42c | 247.62$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6504…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 41c | 236.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 231$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.09 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 34c | 229.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 59c | 226.69$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.75 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…29d9backed No | 59c | 219.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 41c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 16c | 198.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Yes | 48c | 185.42$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 58c | 180.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…e55abacked Yes | 55c | 176.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0519…3b47backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8f…56e5backed Yes | 46c | 163.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…a08bbacked Yes | 70c | 157.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 41c | 155.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 45c | 146.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…fb9ebacked Yes | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 58c | 132.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4b…2b84backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Yes | 41c | 119.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 42c | 117.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes | 77c | 116.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e41…dab5backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…19c8backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed No | 60c | 105$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 78c | 100.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…36eabacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc66…42f7backed Yes | 43c | 99.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…7a29backed Yes | 41c | 99.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…1ec0backed Yes | 43c | 91.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…ce5dbacked Yes | 61c | 90.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee6…d412backed Yes | 71c | 77.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…fff7backed Yes | 43c | 74.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef7…647bbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52a…dcebbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc6…6163backed Yes | 42c | 63.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 41c | 63.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…0f43backed Yes | 40c | 63.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?this page
- Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime?No won
- Switzerland leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.