TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,376
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,376 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over46c50,000$22,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,199.8931947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Over54c32,537$17,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,967.041369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c22,601$12,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,967.136,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over52c17,837$9,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,579.462774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c11,464$6,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,451.5577342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under45c10,153$4,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,612.776139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under46c8,696$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00020545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under48c8,000$3,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,829.9845936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c6,585$3,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.182,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under48c6,400$3,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,07214652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c5,780$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.6359847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over44c5,700$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.734645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under48c5,686$2,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,711.7113155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under56c4,912$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750.492152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over45c4,445$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.7512649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Over51c4,379$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.661030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Over48c3,601$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.963348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under54c3,277$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.2311437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Over34c2,977$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.4910253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under46c2,830$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.9215255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under48c2,405$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.6314158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c2,119$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.161,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under46c1,600$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73617062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under48c1,600$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76814459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c1,458$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8421056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Over50c1,432$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.151833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55214355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55212157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under48c1,197$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.477959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8510739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c1,132$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.941,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under46c1,100$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.4122049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5176058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under46c1,040$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.412757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under48c1,040$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.213855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46017959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under48c995.1$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.652040%8 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under46c960$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.62334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c955.42$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.274,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under46c900$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41418156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under46c900$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41416858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under52c719.65$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.745259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under50c707.69$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.5672442.7%309 W · 415 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over57c642.49$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2477336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under46c640$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.414354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c629.09$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.0956051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under46c624$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.0414658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under46c624$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.0413858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under47c621.06$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.6733751.3%173 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27623258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Under10c599.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601010%1 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under55c596.92$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.1574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under46c560$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.610960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under50c508$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under46c503.79$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7422146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over53c501.15$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.544557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over51c494.74$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7417161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under48c472.62$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over50c468.01$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.015145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under46c448.31$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.226758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over51c438.24$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.441,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over34c423.53$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.538236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19212558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18410860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18410558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over43c399.91$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.6291435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2a…b471backed Under50c393.61$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under48c388.53$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4996443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over54c368.52$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.529957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under13c350.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.684411.4%5 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over61c342.08$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.326160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca7…94ccbacked Over34c321.74$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under46c306$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.41,63652.9%866 W · 770 L+32.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over50c287.95$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.952580%20 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over79c261$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.898159.3%48 W · 33 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under53c253.06$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.193161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over60c251.22$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6122744.1%100 W · 127 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.510147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed Under67c223.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Under67c220$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.43948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under59c214.71$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1718358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.338445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-73.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under48c195.04$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9259332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under51c186.56$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked Under10c170.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0940%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Under13c166$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.84166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under46c160$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.611457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Under52c150.25$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.561850%9 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.068037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over51c140$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.618449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under32c138.04$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8322057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Over27c137.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.042138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over52c121.27$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.672962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under46c119.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559955.6%55 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under69c118.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3214463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.