Premier League · resolved market
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83c11387ab0236d0c6fab4a5e0c0a03ac55f521c4d4b26ea686f335836f6bfdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 21c | 2,955$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.18 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Under | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 71c | 2,411$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.2 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 6c | 1,761$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 74c | 1,661$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.7 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 1,584$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.15 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 30c | 1,554$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.34 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 30c | 1,174$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.4 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 17c | 1,163$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.18 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 731.91$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.94 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 30c | 678.74$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.12 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Under | 80c | 628.63$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 75c | 543.96$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 29c | 527.37$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.43 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 26c | 503$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.83 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 71c | 473.57$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.51 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 20c | 432.44$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.08 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 374.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.49 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 74c | 372.23$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.94 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 28c | 350$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 31c | 318$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.88 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 21c | 300$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 26c | 299.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.98 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 73c | 288.55$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.08 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 26c | 273$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.02 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 63c | 266.66$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.66 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 14c | 249.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 68c | 211.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…0593backed Under | 79c | 177.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 78c | 140$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 65c | 123$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 69c | 116.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 33c | 109.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 18c | 108.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 31c | 101.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 69c | 99.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…25b6backed Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 71c | 94.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 30c | 74.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 65c | 73.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 71c | 72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…94ccbacked Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 37c | 64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 34c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…fc9fbacked Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 40c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 27c | 47.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 79c | 41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 67c | 40.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 72c | 31.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 70c | 27.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 70c | 25.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Under | 76c | 25.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 75c | 24.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 70c | 20.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed Under | 74c | 20.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 62c | 18.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Under | 70c | 15.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…8c33backed Under | 70c | 15.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…28b8backed Under | 70c | 15.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 80c | 14.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.