Premier League · resolved market
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb992087e28fdbd15756b7b2631103f0f1171421b7a66bbc44b7746a03928d406
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 47c | 10,627$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005.41 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 52c | 7,596$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 2,989$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.8 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 2c | 2,758$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 47c | 2,081$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 63c | 2,006$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.56 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 927.8$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.01 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…43c5backed Over | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 78c | 576.92$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 77c | 444.63$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 419.61$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.81 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 73c | 366$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +44%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 22c | 344.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…94aebacked Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 25c | 266$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 34c | 230$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Under | 25c | 222.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 75c | 206.15$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 75c | 195.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7536…17fcbacked Over | 64c | 155.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 73c | 144.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 62c | 111.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 31c | 105.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 67c | 90.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 31c | 68.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed Over | 66c | 60.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 22c | 56.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…78e6backed Under | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…4d47backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 337 | 51.3%173 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 28c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 23c | 46.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…95b3backed Over | 78c | 43.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 71c | 33.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 76c | 32.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c9…4338backed Over | 78c | 32.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 67c | 31.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…527abacked Over | 78c | 23.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 72c | 20.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 74c | 19.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 58c | 17.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over | 71c | 15.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…28b8backed Over | 73c | 15.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.