Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68064abecf25d5e0d480455cbaeb005c6897fa82224e16a2ebdcc741a83a4333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $576,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $627,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $576,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 212,716$121,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,123.33 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Yes | 38c | 184,309$70,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,272.9 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 39c | 76,325$29,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,558.4 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 62c | 23,450$14,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,538.83 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed No | 61c | 17,939$10,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,942.81 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 15,906$6,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,333.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 61c | 15,401$9,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,394.57 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 39c | 15,374$5,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,378.14 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,820.51 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 61c | 12,000$7,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319.99 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 11,641$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.53 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 62c | 9,485$5,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880.7 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed No | 61c | 8,971$5,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,472.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 61c | 8,003$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,881.9 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 61c | 7,350$4,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,488.11 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 61c | 7,000$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.92 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 6,679$4,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.95 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked No | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 61c | 4,900$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked No | 62c | 4,781$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 38c | 4,147$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.25 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 61c | 4,062$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.76 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…e87cbacked Yes | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.37 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 5c | 3,815$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.1 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 9c | 3,737$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.19 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed No | 62c | 3,664$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.88 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 39c | 3,530$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.3 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…2938backed Yes | 39c | 3,104$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.81 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 80c | 3,051$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.63 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 62c | 3,003$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.5 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 61c | 2,976$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.35 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed No | 17c | 2,647$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.89 | 266 | 47%125 W · 141 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 62c | 2,417$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.55 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 13c | 2,249$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.84 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked No | 2c | 2,041$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9c…78babacked Yes | 39c | 1,902$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.13 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed No | 13c | 1,788$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 80c | 1,686$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.47 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes | 39c | 1,582$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.05 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 39c | 1,514$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.24 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…6f58backed Yes | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb1…3c7abacked Yes | 39c | 1,482$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.79 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 79c | 1,437$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.32 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 12c | 1,424$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 39c | 1,390$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.81 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 17c | 1,323$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.77 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 13c | 1,220$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.02 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 14c | 1,218$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.47 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…cad8backed Yes | 39c | 1,213$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 67c | 1,211$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.79 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 18c | 1,191$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.45 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 62c | 1,191$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.42 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed No | 11c | 1,130$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.68 | 270 | 32.2%87 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 77c | 1,009$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.65 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 18c | 935.79$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.83 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 61c | 733.95$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.71 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 39c | 730.74$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.75 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 41c | 720$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.85 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed No | 11c | 674.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 60c | 670.79$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.19 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…99b2backed Yes | 39c | 647.97$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.26 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 61c | 605.96$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.63 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 37c | 600.72$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.45 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…da6ebacked Yes | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 598.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…569cbacked Yes | 34c | 596.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.36 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 70c | 594.57$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.63 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 40c | 533.26$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.73 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 48c | 533.25$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.95 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a05…e993backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 61c | 518.17$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.08 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e24…3474backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 61c | 508$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.88 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…6ff1backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 284 | 39.1%111 W · 173 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 30.4%41 W · 94 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 39c | 480$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.8 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…cdb2backed Yes | 39c | 456.41$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.41 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 62c | 446.77$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 74c | 428.43$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.68 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 22c | 421.39$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 56c | 416.12$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.22 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 61c | 409$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 61c | 409$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 409$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 62c | 392$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina leading at halftime?this page
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?No won
- Switzerland leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.