Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9390bafef88537e5d49c12b450ceaabaeec323bd33d815443a61755b1f0f9ec1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 17,987$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.59 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 15c | 15,145$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.69 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…f4d2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.98 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 8,693$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.47 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 1c | 6,840$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 15c | 4,300$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 14c | 2,100$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed Yes | 14c | 1,433$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.62 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,268$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…65a0backed Yes | 15c | 1,072$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.87 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Yes | 3c | 953.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 4c | 920$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7978…473cbacked Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…14afbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Yes | 15c | 666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 16c | 637.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Yes | 14c | 551.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes | 14c | 499.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 15c | 480$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 14c | 411.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 15c | 350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 15c | 326.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 15c | 294.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 16c | 231.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 15c | 223$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 10c | 211.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…7828backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…ae13backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 14c | 180$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 16c | 176.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 168.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 14c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 14c | 146.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 14c | 143.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…c7f9backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…aa30backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…eac8backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Yes | 15c | 101$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…da0bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 462 | 47.6%220 W · 242 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…73a1backed Yes | 15c | 98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 16c | 91.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 12c | 87.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 17c | 81.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 16c | 70.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland leading at halftime?this page
- Argentina leading at halftime?Yes won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.