Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1bae0cf99c030330e153633e706d1ce79dcdb59695f8dd173f6988431f6d52a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 48c | 25,326$12,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,134.54 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 17,287$4,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,416.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 52c | 10,885$5,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,248.93 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 52c | 8,249$4,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.26 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 6,569$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.5 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 52c | 6,490$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.2 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 54c | 4,302$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.7 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 51c | 4,015$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.24 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 53c | 3,658$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.19 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 2,168$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.88 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 52c | 1,769$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.25 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 49c | 1,746$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.59 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 38c | 1,590$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.24 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 51c | 1,560$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.55 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…da6ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae4…7084backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 52c | 1,000$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked No | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…f53fbacked Yes | 52c | 962.71$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 51c | 884.35$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Yes | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…1394backed Yes | 13c | 791.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…29f6backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 49c | 689.8$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 25c | 679.34$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.63 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 49c | 626$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.74 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…4bf5backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…3c8abacked Yes | 49c | 606.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…9d61backed Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 461.86$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.45 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 53c | 445.95$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.49 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 14c | 429.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 411.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…8c15backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked No | 61c | 388.15$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.68 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebc…6bfdbacked Yes | 53c | 379.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 12c | 377.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked No | 54c | 368.41$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 259 | 37.5%97 W · 162 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 53c | 300.01$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…14afbacked Yes | 17c | 291.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 27c | 260.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4e…8413backed Yes | 49c | 253.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 53c | 243.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.67 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 232.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 18c | 222.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1768…89e4backed Yes | 47c | 222.11$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 50c | 222$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.02 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 51c | 218.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.22 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…4907backed Yes | 50c | 215.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…e600backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe623…9800backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 208$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 49c | 206$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 52c | 204.42$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e7…d258backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…e4e5backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…0c3cbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…2a81backed Yes | 36c | 168.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 65c | 160$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 52c | 155$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 52c | 149.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 12c | 146.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…dbc7backed Yes | 13c | 146$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 13c | 132.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 11c | 129.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 13c | 121.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb1…944cbacked Yes | 16c | 118.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 116 | 26.7%31 W · 85 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…b16bbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…39b2backed Yes | 27c | 109.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…91a2backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 46c | 107.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…9949backed Yes | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…b36fbacked No | 54c | 104.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…bdf0backed Yes | 47c | 103.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…00a7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 25.3%23 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?this page
- Argentina leading at halftime?Yes won
- Switzerland leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.