NBA · resolved market
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca0c32557e23f5b2297dc9efe3869b153146855aa033ff7ee1737f946b0c0746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Yes | 53c | 1,185$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.3 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…799bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,068$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed No | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 42c | 1,012$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.9 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 46c | 947.28$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.52 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 46c | 924.46$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.25 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 44c | 800$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ec…307abacked Yes | 54c | 760.4$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed No | 45c | 739.11$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.6 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked No | 45c | 665.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.92 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…d2b6backed Yes | 57c | 612.41$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 46c | 554.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.28 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 58c | 520$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.85 | 337 | 49.3%166 W · 171 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed No | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked No | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked No | 47c | 343.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…fd81backed Yes | 58c | 306.62$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 66c | 273.13$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 44c | 255.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.33 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…8aa2backed Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked No | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 44c | 198.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked No | 49c | 196.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b6…48ccbacked Yes | 54c | 182.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed Yes | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed Yes | 55c | 181.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1495…d3f9backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed Yes | 56c | 178.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…b63fbacked Yes | 57c | 172.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed No | 43c | 168.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 45c | 145.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Yes | 54c | 129.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 43c | 121.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 55c | 108.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 44c | 101.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 48c | 100.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 44c | 96.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Yes | 55c | 91.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…c1c5backed Yes | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b7…cd95backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 45c | 87.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 19c | 71.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked No | 37c | 71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…8afbbacked No | 66c | 70.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +9.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…baa1backed No | 45c | 68.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1815…e217backed Yes | 54c | 59.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…4257backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed Yes | 56c | 53.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 284 | 55.3%157 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…8b45backed Yes | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938a…e0edbacked No | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 44c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…a212backed Yes | 55c | 44.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…d1cebacked No | 45c | 43.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…ed3fbacked Yes | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 46c | 41.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 37c | 41.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Yes | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Yes | 54c | 40.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…2cacbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…270ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…53c2backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7272backed Yes | 57c | 34.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d12…fecabacked Yes | 59c | 33.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 50c | 32.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…5848backed Yes | 56c | 31.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…6465backed Yes | 54c | 28.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…98d9backed Yes | 54c | 27.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729c…2b1ebacked Yes | 55c | 27.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…4d42backed Yes | 56c | 26.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 47c | 26.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216d…cc06backed Yes | 54c | 21.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…08d2backed No | 47c | 21.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…e001backed Yes | 59c | 21.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…6783backed Yes | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…bf9dbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.