TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,881 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xedf7…8f79backed No47c578.42$273 inLost-$273.31,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked No45c555$250 inLost-$249.7524949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Yes55c425.01$234 inWon+$191.2516251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Yes52c384.62$200 inWon+$184.6222447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No47c329.98$155 inLost-$155.0956050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Yes54c299.99$162 inWon+$13839864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes53c283.02$150 inWon+$133.0230055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon+$85.1912451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked No46c184.91$85 inLost-$855451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No46c178.19$82 inLost-$81.9776247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed No46c162.1$75 inLost-$74.5240546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No45c156.11$70 inLost-$70.2590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes55c129.99$71 inWon+$58.540053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68db…ee32backed Yes55c127.53$70 inWon+$57.538453.6%45 W · 39 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x390e…49cdbacked Yes57c70.18$40 inWon+$30.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Yes54c69.25$37 inWon+$31.8626755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No46c63.29$29 inLost-$29.0543752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1815…e217backed Yes55c47.58$26 inWon+$21.588855.7%49 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No47c43.46$20 inLost-$20.4733356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7385…0199backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon+$18.464864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon+$18.468354.2%45 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9686…1701backed Yes54c35.19$19 inWon+$16.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae5…8386backed Yes52c34.62$18 inWon+$16.622161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed No46c27.98$13 inLost-$135042%21 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a1e…9095backed Yes54c27.87$15 inWon+$12.871070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e8e…6461backed No46c25.93$12 inLost-$11.8840%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.