TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, LOUD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Fluxo W7M26c16,290$4,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,076.61,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed LOUD74c14,092$10,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,428.0854353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed LOUD3c12,221$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.522844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked LOUD51c4,071$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.0285046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked Fluxo W7M40c2,417$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.6511445.6%52 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27a…d8c4backed LOUD63c2,377$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.757460.8%45 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LOUD19c2,083$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.571,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD41c1,876$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.192,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked LOUD74c1,834$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.5730035%105 W · 195 L-21.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LOUD13c1,716$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.081,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed LOUD76c1,516$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.3353753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Fluxo W7M24c1,319$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.023,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x406d…5298backed Fluxo W7M78c1,272$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.114363.6%91 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed LOUD26c1,162$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.7639246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Fluxo W7M27c1,119$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.941,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed LOUD43c1,103$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.228827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed LOUD34c1,039$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.3745618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba90…b283backed LOUD30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016925.4%43 W · 126 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+15.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2248…bc0ebacked LOUD67c988.63$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.5719745.2%89 W · 108 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed LOUD41c968.2$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.281,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dcd…7e04backed Fluxo W7M66c935.32$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.3113752.6%72 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4e9…a838backed Fluxo W7M54c895.92$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.128051.3%41 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked LOUD61c802.73$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0747150.7%239 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Fluxo W7M55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36035546.8%166 W · 189 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Fluxo W7M27c750$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.564849.8%323 W · 325 L-25.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked LOUD50c691.62$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.8837245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Fluxo W7M38c670.45$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.4260053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Fluxo W7M27c631.16$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.6986144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb291…bc03backed Fluxo W7M60c626.56$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.552965.5%19 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed LOUD22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13285942.7%367 W · 492 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Fluxo W7M52c595.89$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.331,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd10b…2f6dbacked Fluxo W7M26c589.2$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.624100%4 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+521.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc6e2…a0d5backed LOUD74c578.92$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LOUD49c555.17$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.142,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Fluxo W7M34c533.31$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.0945937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09a0…dc24backed Fluxo W7M26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3702157.1%12 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.23per pick35cpaid+73.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x664b…17e0backed LOUD5c499.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251097.3%8 W · 101 L-0.3wins0.00per pick8cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fluxo W7M52c495.57$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.0182044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Fluxo W7M22c472.27$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.3728042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed LOUD73c454.67$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.5296350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked LOUD45c449.45$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.761,14330.8%352 W · 791 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7586…6490backed LOUD75c426.7$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.844057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked Fluxo W7M66c418.18$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1843358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed LOUD6c407.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4710350.5%52 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Fluxo W7M26c367.54$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.981,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Fluxo W7M49c360.7$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.591,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Fluxo W7M54c360.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6717840.4%72 W · 106 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed Fluxo W7M54c359.73$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2349253.5%263 W · 229 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…c5e1backed LOUD55c349.77$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.156753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf445…703ebacked Fluxo W7M53c331.35$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.945343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed LOUD31c325.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.374344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Fluxo W7M45c322.59$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8676642%322 W · 444 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked LOUD14c321.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.081,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e9…7b35backed Fluxo W7M78c314.58$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.486675.8%50 W · 16 L+11.5wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+23.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed LOUD35c300$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Fluxo W7M26c296.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.668627.9%24 W · 62 L-13.2wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x06a7…6f38backed Fluxo W7M78c295.5$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.017466.2%49 W · 25 L+12.4wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Fluxo W7M74c283$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.511,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LOUD52c280.34$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.982,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9e4…c4b2backed LOUD77c266.77$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6326861.6%165 W · 103 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Fluxo W7M29c254.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.879151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed LOUD67c220.53$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.761421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-57.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Fluxo W7M26c211.53$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5313541.5%56 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1bf…dd85backed Fluxo W7M78c210$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.81573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed LOUD45c197.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7769539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e4f…3cbabacked LOUD16c191.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1222666.4%150 W · 76 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked LOUD74c190.75$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1584840.8%346 W · 502 L-39.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Fluxo W7M52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6522349.3%110 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Fluxo W7M69c183.38$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1370744.1%312 W · 395 L-22.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a1…1606backed Fluxo W7M54c180.06$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.832441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Fluxo W7M38c174.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.071,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea4b…9531backed Fluxo W7M56c174.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+77.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Fluxo W7M28c165.3$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.827558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ba2…db37backed Fluxo W7M51c159.67$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.362339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Fluxo W7M57c154.15$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2814754.4%80 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe37a…45dfbacked LOUD34c141.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.028938.2%34 W · 55 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Fluxo W7M27c140.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8634945.6%159 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Fluxo W7M55c137.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9680750.8%410 W · 397 L+48.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x292d…1321backed Fluxo W7M54c131.74$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.159743.3%42 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081f…d5c0backed LOUD76c129.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.562853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92c9…c500backed Fluxo W7M28c126.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.573033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x709d…0a62backed Fluxo W7M46c125.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9526052.7%137 W · 123 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed LOUD38c118.47$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4917658%102 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed LOUD27c117.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.061,73029.5%510 W · 1,220 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LOUD30c108.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.032,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Fluxo W7M23c104.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6548042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Fluxo W7M27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7394237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Fluxo W7M80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017543.4%76 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f76…6323backed LOUD11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121810.1%22 W · 196 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Fluxo W7M80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2038743.9%170 W · 217 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Fluxo W7M80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017739.5%70 W · 107 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Fluxo W7M58c99.56$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.451,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ec…c264backed Fluxo W7M50c97.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3580073.3%586 W · 214 L+45.1wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed LOUD41c96.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4434837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed LOUD28c92.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.771,65846.9%777 W · 881 L-25.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3dd…cdaebacked LOUD48c90.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed LOUD16c89.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5950549.3%249 W · 256 L+2.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Fluxo W7M32c88.03$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2342250%211 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Fluxo W7M55c83.15$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4295551.7%494 W · 461 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Fluxo W7M32c82.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8948747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.