Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d9c1c96fcd855bc2e7069337e3572f3a4a306aeaae70778ebf4b8760bc226f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof LOUD, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Fluxo W7M | 43c | 11,243$4,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,408.53 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed LOUD | 57c | 5,508$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.82 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Fluxo W7M | 43c | 4,978$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.21 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Fluxo W7M | 42c | 3,813$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.31 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked LOUD | 56c | 3,576$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.39 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked LOUD | 57c | 3,411$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.26 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked LOUD | 57c | 1,709$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.2 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed LOUD | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed LOUD | 57c | 1,036$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.67 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed LOUD | 57c | 701.36$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.02 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked LOUD | 57c | 698.5$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.15 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Fluxo W7M | 43c | 440$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked LOUD | 58c | 438.66$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.42 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked LOUD | 58c | 389.92$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.15 | 268 | 59.7%160 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Fluxo W7M | 46c | 368$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.11 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed LOUD | 58c | 351.86$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed LOUD | 57c | 290.55$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.61 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed LOUD | 71c | 263.37$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.7 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed LOUD | 57c | 247.72$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Fluxo W7M | 39c | 172.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Fluxo W7M | 39c | 161.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…a2aabacked LOUD | 57c | 139.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…6a3ebacked LOUD | 58c | 132.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Fluxo W7M | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Fluxo W7M | 43c | 111.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…dcbabacked LOUD | 57c | 102.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LOUD | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked LOUD | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed LOUD | 58c | 96.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed LOUD | 57c | 85.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed LOUD | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed LOUD | 57c | 75.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked LOUD | 57c | 59.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 187 | 56.7%106 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed LOUD | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed LOUD | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked LOUD | 58c | 48.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed LOUD | 57c | 47.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d48…f5a2backed Fluxo W7M | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Fluxo W7M | 34c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed LOUD | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ef…598fbacked LOUD | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fluxo W7M | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked LOUD | 62c | 22.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8068…98f5backed LOUD | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed LOUD | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)this page
- Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFluxo W7M won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 WinnerLOUD won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 WinnerFluxo W7M won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.