Lol · resolved market
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11fee365ba5be8bdf22610c6b452b3e5fc762e0a2249277bf28f96648131dbb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof Fluxo W7M, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba90…b283backed Fluxo W7M | 1c | 21,039$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.84 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 10,366$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.96 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed LOUD | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…416ebacked Fluxo W7M | 3c | 5,637$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Fluxo W7M | 1c | 5,490$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Fluxo W7M | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Fluxo W7M | 1c | 3,821$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 441 | 20%88 W · 353 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed LOUD | 76c | 3,128$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.41 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked LOUD | 74c | 2,534$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.89 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed LOUD | 75c | 1,999$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.87 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed LOUD | 76c | 1,767$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 1,535$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.78 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 1,296$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Fluxo W7M | 1c | 1,248$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed LOUD | 77c | 1,243$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.92 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LOUD | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fluxo W7M | 22c | 819.97$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.37 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked LOUD | 75c | 808.51$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.95 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Fluxo W7M | 26c | 782.86$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.54 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed LOUD | 76c | 757.93$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.9 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Fluxo W7M | 21c | 701.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Fluxo W7M | 17c | 658.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Fluxo W7M | 22c | 573.63$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a7…6f38backed Fluxo W7M | 14c | 569.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +12.4wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…a0d5backed LOUD | 74c | 432.22$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked LOUD | 75c | 420$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Fluxo W7M | 16c | 408.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…9af6backed LOUD | 76c | 406.61$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 259 | 45.2%117 W · 142 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…17e0backed Fluxo W7M | 6c | 405.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 109 | 7.3%8 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Fluxo W7M | 26c | 403.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked LOUD | 74c | 401.43$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed LOUD | 76c | 389.05$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…af2abacked Fluxo W7M | 16c | 379.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Fluxo W7M | 16c | 367.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed LOUD | 76c | 344.89$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 306 | 61.1%187 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed LOUD | 74c | 320.2$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Fluxo W7M | 18c | 306.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked LOUD | 76c | 256.26$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Fluxo W7M | 26c | 253.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…9becbacked Fluxo W7M | 26c | 229.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Fluxo W7M | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LOUD | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…fadebacked LOUD | 78c | 199.19$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…7b35backed LOUD | 78c | 197.31$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +11.5wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked LOUD | 75c | 195.87$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 137 | 61.3%84 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Fluxo W7M | 26c | 149.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed Fluxo W7M | 16c | 122.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed Fluxo W7M | 10c | 109.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Fluxo W7M | 13c | 102.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Fluxo W7M | 19c | 101.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fluxo W7M | 20c | 100.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed LOUD | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LOUD | 75c | 93.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Fluxo W7M | 26c | 88.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 349 | 45.6%159 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…32eabacked Fluxo W7M | 15c | 87.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 80.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Fluxo W7M | 18c | 79.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked LOUD | 78c | 77.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…b5c4backed Fluxo W7M | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…bff2backed LOUD | 77c | 70.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 76cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed LOUD | 76c | 60.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed Fluxo W7M | 31c | 57.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Fluxo W7M | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…0a62backed LOUD | 76c | 42.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…d10dbacked LOUD | 76c | 34.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 192 | 53.6%103 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked LOUD | 75c | 34.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed LOUD | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 460 | 58%267 W · 193 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)Fluxo W7M won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFluxo W7M won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 WinnerFluxo W7M won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.