TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,672
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,672 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x509d…0a6bbacked Under71c5,782$4,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,113.667056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Over30c1,992$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.082737%10 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over31c1,811$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.98143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over31c1,768$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2201,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Over30c1,555$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.4513135.1%46 W · 85 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked Over28c1,429$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.521936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked Over31c1,058$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.714465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Under70c1,014$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.151,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under68c980.8$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.942,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over32c969.23$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.982,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over30c783.1$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55050848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Over30c782.69$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.8834250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under69c646.65$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.1912352%64 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under69c521.12$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.5818653.2%99 W · 87 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Over30c504.55$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.1819752.8%104 W · 93 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Over28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36019744.2%87 W · 110 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34096054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb66…c8dfbacked Over30c484.74$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.396248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Over30c439.94$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.9633139.9%132 W · 199 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x987d…1153backed Over30c406.19$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.331060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd22c…287dbacked Under69c337.6$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Over32c319$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.923030%9 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Under68c312.88$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.763464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6af0…fea7backed Over31c309.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3710157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Over30c290.59$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.4210947.7%52 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under70c270.05$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0410165.3%66 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Under70c270.05$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.047865.4%51 W · 27 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Under70c270.05$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.042055%11 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Under76c260.26$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0953753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over32c239.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0618447.8%88 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Under69c236.98$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5210253.9%55 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under69c236.51$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.025453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under69c234.41$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16124643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a29…836dbacked Over31c224.84$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.145154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under70c216$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.210355.3%57 W · 46 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10cf…60cfbacked Over30c201.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.838943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4c8…86b4backed Under68c196.16$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3919157.1%109 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Over30c193.79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7250647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Over30c191.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1244743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under70c190.51$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3611450%57 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under71c179.91$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.744252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Under69c171.89$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.638850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Over30c156.15$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3139056.4%220 W · 170 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over29c153$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9660849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c150.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1485046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Over32c149.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.928360.2%50 W · 33 L+9.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+55.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under68c147.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0453649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed Over30c143.7$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.597741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.25265.4%34 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under70c136.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5511161.3%68 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Under70c136.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.552152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under70c136.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.554156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under70c136.08$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.255954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc1…57a1backed Under70c133.55$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.49875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under69c117.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2626856.7%152 W · 116 L+1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under69c117.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.265955.9%33 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under70c109.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9938257.9%221 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over26c104.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.621,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6828559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.514846.6%69 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under70c96.24$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3714561.4%89 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed Under68c93.18$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.368557.6%49 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over31c91.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.853,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fa…2b82backed Over31c86.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.755052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over32c74.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9611859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Under69c74.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4618257.1%104 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Under68c70.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7241156.7%233 W · 178 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Under70c69.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.812955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under72c67.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.811,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under68c63.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3513759.9%82 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Over29c63.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.091,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under69c58.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6318359.6%109 W · 74 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Over30c57.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5516452.4%86 W · 78 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under70c56.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.874562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under70c52.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.431752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3531650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Over31c45.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0927248.9%133 W · 139 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under68c40.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.263956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over35c37.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.192,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under70c29.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6215356.9%87 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Under70c29.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.628257.3%47 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under69c29.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3236946.1%170 W · 199 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Under69c29.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3248747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under69c29.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3242250%211 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe7…24a0backed Under70c24.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.193873.7%28 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4daa…8923backed Under70c21.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.123871.1%27 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d75…12a6backed Under69c20.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.383756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54d7…55c2backed Under52c20.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.654136.6%15 W · 26 L-8.3wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Under68c19.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5235755.7%199 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under66c19.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6341651.2%213 W · 203 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Under68c16.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9112763%80 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x171f…d613backed Under68c16.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9110055%55 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Under70c14.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.313256.3%18 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.