CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc81fd81c80b404482b9496628bc7b926de1a579abcdecd4e88c5967c69176001
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof Prestige, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed MANA eSports | 65c | 8,049$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.29 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaddc…ed0dbacked Prestige | 35c | 3,565$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Prestige | 27c | 2,716$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.26 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Prestige | 26c | 2,330$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.4 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f47…d0a3backed Prestige | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Prestige | 35c | 1,544$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.54 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed MANA eSports | 71c | 1,338$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.82 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Prestige | 32c | 1,250$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.48 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Prestige | 5c | 1,053$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Prestige | 34c | 1,010$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.54 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Prestige | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed MANA eSports | 67c | 840$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.2 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Prestige | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Prestige | 22c | 747.44$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Prestige | 34c | 669.06$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.82 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed MANA eSports | 66c | 601.56$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.04 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked MANA eSports | 79c | 585.33$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Prestige | 4c | 570$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Prestige | 12c | 539$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Prestige | 31c | 517.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.35 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked MANA eSports | 69c | 507.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbd…16d6backed Prestige | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…7d67backed MANA eSports | 63c | 435.33$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.92 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…45b9backed Prestige | 21c | 386.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Prestige | 20c | 362$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MANA eSports | 76c | 306.77$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked Prestige | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Prestige | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Prestige | 35c | 285.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Prestige | 37c | 257.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed MANA eSports | 66c | 246.05$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Prestige | 36c | 246$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed MANA eSports | 66c | 223.31$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed MANA eSports | 72c | 192.97$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MANA eSports | 63c | 192$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed MANA eSports | 65c | 180$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…94b2backed MANA eSports | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed MANA eSports | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +68%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…11bebacked Prestige | 18c | 143.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MANA eSports | 69c | 133.34$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Prestige | 30c | 129.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Prestige | 27c | 117.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Prestige | 24c | 105.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Prestige | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…4a9cbacked MANA eSports | 65c | 97.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked MANA eSports | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed MANA eSports | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Prestige | 35c | 86.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed MANA eSports | 68c | 82.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed MANA eSports | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.40per pick | 42cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked MANA eSports | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Prestige | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed MANA eSports | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…3dc5backed MANA eSports | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Prestige | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Prestige | 34c | 62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MANA eSports | 77c | 61.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed MANA eSports | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…1132backed MANA eSports | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed MANA eSports | 67c | 50.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 186 | 57%106 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4816…5e9fbacked MANA eSports | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed MANA eSports | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Prestige | 34c | 47.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Prestige | 42c | 44.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Prestige | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Prestige | 33c | 40.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed MANA eSports | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Prestige | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…86e4backed MANA eSports | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed MANA eSports | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Prestige | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed MANA eSports | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Prestige | 56c | 34.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec6…e838backed MANA eSports | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked MANA eSports | 67c | 32.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…67e9backed Prestige | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Prestige | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Prestige | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Prestige | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Prestige | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Prestige | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Prestige | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Prestige | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Prestige | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Prestige | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb879…57c1backed MANA eSports | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed MANA eSports | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2136…6ef0backed MANA eSports | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked MANA eSports | 65c | 20.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…2aacbacked MANA eSports | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed MANA eSports | 63c | 19.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerMANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.