TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,298 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No62c11,976$7,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,407.622,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c5,763$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.281,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63bf…64a2backed Yes7c5,325$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,952.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,328.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes43c4,570$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.3496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes61c4,221$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.5532843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes20c3,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4002454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes21c2,641$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.6411964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes19c2,050$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes20c2,001$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.069631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58014249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5806323.8%15 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55511837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked No17c1,171$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes44c1,067$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.624744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+86.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7901163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+56.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes20c999.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.9913040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes71c946.73$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.745369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No44c792.16$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.7945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes69c722.4$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.772161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No26c646.05$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.823135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes23c601.53$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.187544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Yes21c590$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.053151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes21c543$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.973622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes22c535.17$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.4312923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No50c505$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.546742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…a807backed Yes22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick21cpaid+72.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Yes21c500$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3953647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Yes80c500$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-58.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb556…14bfbacked No25c492.8$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.270%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.19933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes26c467$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.158342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes19c383$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.2327737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c1…7d67backed Yes80c310.98$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.39650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes21c300$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23726046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No80c300$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403661.1%22 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5585…dd3ebacked No14c262.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4850%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes22c228.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.61844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Yes8c218.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.971816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+66.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6a9…f43fbacked Yes7c203.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4450%2 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+427.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15821445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f0f…45c3backed Yes67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1589037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16017543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes22c171.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8320841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Yes11c171$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.19580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+185%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No72c131$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1620431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0a8…5f1abacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No42c118.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4412929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed No75c100.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.412326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8021650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No71c99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3122373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes20c97.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.262944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.244434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Yes65c92.07$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.072454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No80c89.28$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.424242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed No22c80.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1838739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes24c74.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x773b…a9a8backed Yes65c71.53$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb16…9757backed Yes64c70.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.311291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick68cpaid+37.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8e7…05c8backed Yes22c68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.041266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+77.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf828…fca3backed Yes21c67.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.571816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes21c66.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.715635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No42c65.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6236852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes18c59.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.586131.1%19 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No70c57.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No70c57.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed No70c57.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed No70c57.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No70c57.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No73c54.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No73c54.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402536%9 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No69c53.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3643058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8956…9e83backed No26c52.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.471729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.514255.6%79 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401838.9%7 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.57444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes69c34.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-75.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Yes55c33.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.871926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No76c30.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.72250%11 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No78c26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.284257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed No78c24.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.355851.7%30 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes65c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0531958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No74c22.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6931051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d40…4e09backed Yes66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc9…fc76backed Yes77c17.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No66c16.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7552748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93b1…16d1backed No80c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x308f…e152backed Yes77c13.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.