TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,310 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7087…c61fbacked No52c16,000$8,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,711.084658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed No53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,700540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c9,484$4,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,101.722,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.9820544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e0…292ebacked No50c4,886$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Yes39c4,786$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.48742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+109.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5602454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No49c3,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5201163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+56.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbd0…103abacked Yes74c2,818$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c2,614$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.181,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes54c2,300$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2422236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0635…0f4cbacked Yes49c2,296$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.334040%16 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7051…7bcdbacked No51c1,940$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x549f…146fbacked Yes49c1,918$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b9…dce7backed No51c1,896$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0af0…1595backed Yes49c1,826$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…b3e2backed No51c1,778$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.22560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b3…bc18backed Yes49c1,765$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e9c…53fcbacked No51c1,702$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3a…994abacked No51c1,696$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.04580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e87…a82dbacked Yes49c1,685$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1817…19eebacked No51c1,666$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb67…2e7cbacked No51c1,646$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.53580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1449…69e1backed No51c1,594$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.06450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1c5…8631backed No51c1,562$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ee…24c6backed No51c1,551$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc189…f715backed Yes49c1,540$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…44fabacked Yes49c1,538$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3739…1ee9backed Yes49c1,514$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a4…3a63backed No51c1,484$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dae…036ebacked Yes49c1,453$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No46c1,441$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.2322551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4798…9ffdbacked No51c1,421$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+72.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66eb…5ab9backed Yes49c1,342$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.58475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+79.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No46c1,305$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.6459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54aa…9557backed No51c1,300$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a8…caf9backed Yes49c1,248$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ce3…9b49backed No51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd332…505bbacked Yes49c1,151$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b1…ac6cbacked No51c1,145$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.05450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf3…bfd7backed No51c1,138$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.62450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a5…4c17backed No51c1,138$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc831…8e2cbacked Yes49c1,067$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e0…c977backed No51c1,054$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+84.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b7b…a49abacked Yes49c1,044$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb2…2166backed Yes49c971$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes54c930$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.25747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No68c903$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.2111964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c885$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.548144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes47c799$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.5145547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x645a…0312backed No51c799$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No55c782.39$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.277544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a3c…bab8backed No51c756$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes51c743.84$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.368463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf4…dc2dbacked Yes49c740$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f6…89a3backed Yes49c707$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f14…d0c1backed Yes49c703$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3825…dea5backed No51c684$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce96…7b1abacked No51c655$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1039…4153backed No51c652$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c649$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0335…6b71backed Yes49c649$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes50c627$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.2927737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d3…a77bbacked No52c615.36$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a85…6d81backed Yes49c591$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes52c569.23$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29633951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x669d…e68ebacked No51c569$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5150…8691backed No51c546$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No49c545.08$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.063647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba8…5a93backed Yes49c540$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes49c503$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.475658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes49c501$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3644753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd953…29cabacked No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Yes35c499.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-58.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ea…966dbacked No51c495$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.553100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42ba…5681backed Yes49c455$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbd0…190abacked Yes44c454.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x738a…4525backed Yes49c438$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.62560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf856…9b71backed Yes49c432$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d83…4b38backed Yes49c419$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35a…595ebacked Yes49c412$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d3f…7118backed Yes49c396$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba30…d1d5backed No51c383$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No48c378.21$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.679631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No49c368.44$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.179037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x765c…10fcbacked No51c349$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c9…519ebacked No51c336$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf270…b08cbacked Yes49c319$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b3…84bdbacked Yes49c307$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97fa…a5c4backed Yes49c301$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No50c300$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.526046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed No49c300$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16213152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1596949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548229.3%24 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.