TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Lynxof Team Lynx, Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,681 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8df…6df7backed Zero Tenacity0c29,236$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Team Lynx52c26,204$13,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,668.8119047.9%91 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Zero Tenacity66c17,355$11,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,525.915761.4%35 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Team Lynx34c15,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,900475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+155.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity40c9,924$3,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,940.862,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Zero Tenacity41c6,808$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.3910338.8%40 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4421…80d2backed Zero Tenacity1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Zero Tenacity44c3,820$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.587935.4%28 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Zero Tenacity62c3,211$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00041055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Team Lynx65c3,056$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.582556%14 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zero Tenacity53c2,992$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.7973841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Zero Tenacity51c2,614$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.8211557.4%66 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Zero Tenacity37c2,368$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.9928341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Zero Tenacity45c2,264$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.3619148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329b…3dcebacked Team Lynx66c2,186$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Zero Tenacity57c2,000$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed Zero Tenacity52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7803225%8 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Zero Tenacity62c1,406$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Zero Tenacity57c1,391$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.996243.5%27 W · 35 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Lynx34c1,200$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.9746535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Team Lynx55c1,050$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.653256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689d…300fbacked Team Lynx53c1,009$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Team Lynx30c998.9$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.2314538.6%56 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Team Lynx63c937.02$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Lynx31c861.45$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.860542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x719e…0a21backed Team Lynx35c846$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc544…3c93backed Team Lynx62c651.82$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Zero Tenacity51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30638049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a0b…c8acbacked Team Lynx35c600$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked Zero Tenacity67c589.69$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3952770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Team Lynx35c486.24$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.1720827.9%58 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed Zero Tenacity53c466.27$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.957460.8%45 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c70…e9f9backed Zero Tenacity65c452$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd46c…4468backed Team Lynx35c445$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+83.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Zero Tenacity53c418.45$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.6986949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Team Lynx35c413.69$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.922647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea66…3439backed Team Lynx35c412$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x586e…e28dbacked Zero Tenacity65c394$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffb6…efbebacked Zero Tenacity65c363$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Zero Tenacity42c342.09$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8214537.2%54 W · 91 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa23d…8eaebacked Team Lynx35c333$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc406…04bebacked Team Lynx35c329$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+118.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Team Lynx68c327.02$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6547748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec1…cb69backed Team Lynx35c318$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa874…3affbacked Zero Tenacity65c315$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34c1…7d67backed Team Lynx62c308.71$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea72…16a2backed Team Lynx35c305$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Zero Tenacity7c299.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22879.2%8 W · 79 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Zero Tenacity67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20054445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7582…f6b2backed Team Lynx34c283$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+163.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Zero Tenacity67c282.9$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5564744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Team Lynx54c254.54$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0929245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zero Tenacity49c245.05$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5634063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5a32…1110backed Zero Tenacity65c240$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf12e…ca08backed Zero Tenacity65c237$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b3…a026backed Zero Tenacity65c219$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Zero Tenacity64c218.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.971735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Team Lynx33c210$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.73043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Team Lynx35c209.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.491656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Zero Tenacity65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+67.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7953…ed24backed Team Lynx55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick29cpaid+132.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Team Lynx35c200$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1291729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Zero Tenacity54c197.15$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.926854.4%37 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdda8…0e21backed Zero Tenacity65c192$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Team Lynx64c189.49$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Zero Tenacity65c188$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-60.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity64c179.69$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a3…6448backed Zero Tenacity65c178$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed5b…eb1dbacked Zero Tenacity65c172$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Zero Tenacity60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007936.7%29 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc811…3a46backed Zero Tenacity65c165$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8544…78abbacked Zero Tenacity66c164$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Lynx46c150$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.518649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Zero Tenacity62c146.1$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5810945%49 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Team Lynx58c142.5$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.512654.8%69 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9da2…0ca7backed Zero Tenacity65c141$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.65580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x525f…39a1backed Zero Tenacity65c140$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73d2…2ec6backed Zero Tenacity65c140$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Team Lynx38c132.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.471855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb20…013ebacked Zero Tenacity65c130$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Team Lynx39c129.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7417342.8%74 W · 99 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x791b…029ebacked Team Lynx51c122.27$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.274951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Lynx33c121.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1623529.4%69 W · 166 L-21.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Zero Tenacity52c120$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.81650%8 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa124…19c4backed Zero Tenacity66c119$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5440%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked Team Lynx44c117.1$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8122538.7%87 W · 138 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Zero Tenacity65c116$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4afc…82f6backed Zero Tenacity65c110$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf1…03aebacked Team Lynx62c106.2$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Zero Tenacity43c104.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.138560%51 W · 34 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf79f…662ebacked Zero Tenacity48c103.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Team Lynx54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed Team Lynx50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507846.2%36 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Zero Tenacity43c99.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.092740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ee3…023abacked Team Lynx60c98.09$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+133.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Zero Tenacity53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.761548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Zero Tenacity55c87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.016633.3%22 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Zero Tenacity46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Zero Tenacity63c86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Zero Tenacity64c84$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.