Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0094ddabc24ea466f07849d1bf548c324912881cca1d195c2cfd547f18a18655
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Team Lynx, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Lynx | 48c | 7,734$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.99 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 53c | 3,928$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.3 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Zero Tenacity | 53c | 3,857$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.72 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Lynx | 39c | 1,984$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.44 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Zero Tenacity | 61c | 1,579$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.81 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…ed24backed Team Lynx | 1c | 1,249$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 29cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 813.86$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.62 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Lynx | 30c | 314.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Zero Tenacity | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 236.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Zero Tenacity | 61c | 224.23$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Lynx | 35c | 221.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 162.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Team Lynx | 59c | 148.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked Team Lynx | 44c | 140.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…fd69backed Team Lynx | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Team Lynx | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 99.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe688…fc52backed Team Lynx | 58c | 86.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 68.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Lynx | 40c | 60.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Team Lynx | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a37…c99cbacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 49.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Team Lynx | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Team Lynx | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…10dcbacked Team Lynx | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…6df7backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 21.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)Team Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.