Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ac92d105ac48f43df1bdd03da779fb0892729fb46b9a11b89ed65a72a86ac76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Team Lynx, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x227c…a303backed Zero Tenacity | 1c | 2,300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Lynx | 53c | 1,888$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.84 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 26c | 1,404$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.09 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 1,000$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.49 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Zero Tenacity | 31c | 540.31$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.12 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 395.51$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.91 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…300fbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 294.23$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked Team Lynx | 51c | 250.83$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 142.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Team Lynx | 52c | 136.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…ed24backed Team Lynx | 45c | 104.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 29cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…3803backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Team Lynx | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…fd69backed Team Lynx | 27c | 60.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)Team Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.