TailMyPicks
Market

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will NEC win on 2025-12-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,769 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes47c30,000$14,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,015.2536243.1%156 W · 206 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c9,641$5,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,531.312,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c8,972$4,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,157.745,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed No45c8,500$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,679.966647%31 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No57c5,505$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.223060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No54c2,089$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.071,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No50c2,073$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.212369.6%16 W · 7 L+7.1wins+0.31per pick39cpaid+119.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes50c1,991$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.4351140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes66c1,873$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.085950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes64c1,788$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.3583440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64547325.4%120 W · 353 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c1,311$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.52,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes12c1,250$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.511723.1%27 W · 90 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Yes46c1,090$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes44c1,000$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.58714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4407048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes41c712.58$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.261,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No56c684.18$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.044254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes46c620.26$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.325125.5%13 W · 38 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c544.35$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.97,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes41c533.99$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.945450%27 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c515.39$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.61,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No55c507.99$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.757057.1%40 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e3…37fabacked No57c469.01$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.014254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No56c328.67$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.616465.6%42 W · 22 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes46c326$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.962842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes46c314.09$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4814132.6%46 W · 95 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked No36c275.27$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.824930.6%15 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No66c268.76$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1818143.6%79 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes41c230.85$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.311,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes14c208.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7385340.1%342 W · 511 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes46c206.52$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9536647.3%173 W · 193 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes46c205.83$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6144768%304 W · 143 L+52.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8267050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked No55c190$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes45c182.55$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.521637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked No56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes44c161.05$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.863141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes44c157.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.39120.9%19 W · 72 L-11.0wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-39.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No59c145.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.766142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No57c129.2$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.213755.5%76 W · 61 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Yes45c116$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.24264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9de5…a510backed No59c107$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505920.3%12 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked No35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6512552%65 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No55c99.11$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.621044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No55c92.75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6117141.5%71 W · 100 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2da…6a1dbacked No58c91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No55c82.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.233545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed No55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+59.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No45c78.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.142665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No75c76.82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.431,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.524242.1%102 W · 140 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked No50c72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb102…c73dbacked No57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Yes45c64.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.872853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No56c62.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5212562.4%78 W · 47 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6640…1685backed Yes46c60.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.91837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.459855.5%332 W · 266 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfac5…9782backed No59c58.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Yes44c58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.524546.7%21 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes45c55.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes41c54.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3919241.7%80 W · 112 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d61…3113backed Yes46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5d3…a77bbacked No56c53.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.74580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked No56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a4…a82dbacked Yes46c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes43c43.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.736023.3%14 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb14f…dd7dbacked Yes45c43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes44c42.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5489258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521256.6%120 W · 92 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes43c34.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.995457.4%31 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c79…6e41backed Yes46c31.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x289a…f728backed Yes42c30.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked No54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.84156.1%23 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd628…c85dbacked No55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed No35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed No54c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.582128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd779…80dabacked No56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6b7…64ccbacked No59c18.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb3…c770backed No55c18.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.251668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+50.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed No56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.921361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.