Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85ef4b173f364e19ac3a600f487e93b87c343869cc32d55f452fe65943e997af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 10,512$6,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.65 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 7,146$4,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.97 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 6,921$4,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…83a2backed Yes | 37c | 5,291$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 47c | 5,055$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.63 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 34c | 5,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 3,993$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.03 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 27c | 2,366$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.35 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 1,779$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.67 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…2539backed Yes | 32c | 1,745$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,231$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 1,204$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.89 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 21c | 1,200$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Yes | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…495dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 80c | 841.86$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.09 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 64c | 840.43$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.43 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…1681backed Yes | 7c | 754.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 698.51$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 17c | 654.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…37fabacked Yes | 33c | 609.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 31c | 600$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…e8cfbacked Yes | 34c | 600$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 53c | 463.13$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 33c | 457.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 33c | 455.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…2f8bbacked Yes | 34c | 444.23$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 64c | 434.38$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 59c | 373.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.48 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 58c | 358.62$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 33c | 336.36$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 326$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9910…5897backed Yes | 32c | 315.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6537…b1d5backed Yes | 34c | 313.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 17c | 302.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 36c | 284.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 43c | 270$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 22c | 236.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 22c | 194.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 62c | 184.35$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…031abacked Yes | 36c | 183.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 24c | 176.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 31c | 171.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 64c | 169.43$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed No | 64c | 169.32$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2124…c624backed Yes | 27c | 161.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…172fbacked Yes | 32c | 154.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 26c | 151.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…2fc9backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…673ebacked Yes | 58c | 147.16$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…5292backed Yes | 37c | 132.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…cc1bbacked Yes | 27c | 129.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Yes | 48c | 126.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 65c | 119.13$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 32c | 118.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 63c | 118.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 27c | 113.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 64c | 112.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes | 55c | 105.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 102.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 66c | 99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 74c | 97.79$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4d…ad15backed Yes | 33c | 96.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 68c | 96.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…7db9backed Yes | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a45…1525backed Yes | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 23c | 85.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…dc60backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 43c | 79.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 32c | 78.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 65c | 77.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 63c | 75.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…c603backed Yes | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Yes | 36c | 54.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 68c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94dd…92f9backed Yes | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will NEC vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?Yes won
- Will NEC win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.