Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KRC Genk win on 2025-09-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49a4314bcb82af103db4c75ebcb6040bd22a36df5a549851e4131c4f70d61280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 33c | 5,015$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.15 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.99 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 67c | 4,664$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 3,317$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.04 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,637$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 35c | 1,427$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.58 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 39c | 1,264$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.05 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 1,249$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.83 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 63c | 532.58$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.03 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 67c | 335.82$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 58c | 308.64$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked No | 40c | 308.62$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 35c | 194.29$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 43c | 111$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 64c | 106.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 65c | 104.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 33c | 87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 34c | 75.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 57c | 71.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…f98fbacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 38cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9e…94cfbacked No | 68c | 45.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 39c | 38.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…d928backed Yes | 60c | 17.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 66c | 15.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KRC Genk win on 2025-09-25?this page
- Will Rangers vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?No won
- Will Rangers win on 2025-09-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.