Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers win on 2025-09-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7b5365bf0f763b3a9f5a4bfa2c6c1a1e3ca39721570fa249eb3bc40d74703eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 62c | 1,460$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.33 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked Yes | 49c | 1,410$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 38c | 1,334$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.61 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 969$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.83 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 51c | 845.09$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.99 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 60c | 768.05$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.21 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Yes | 39c | 762.31$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 61c | 656.94$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.36 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…e732backed Yes | 39c | 648.45$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 39c | 432.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.74 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 61c | 419.03$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.42 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 38c | 361.38$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.31 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 11c | 314.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…aa68backed Yes | 41c | 134.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7f…9fecbacked Yes | 39c | 126.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 40c | 119.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 62c | 115.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 60c | 72.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 41c | 49.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…5388backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 61c | 44.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 61c | 39.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 59c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed Yes | 47c | 36.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…da19backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…4812backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 59c | 24.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers win on 2025-09-25?this page
- Will KRC Genk win on 2025-09-25?Yes won
- Will Rangers vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.