Music · resolved market
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc9f6bef74b68f18adc49da32a31da712dd7053053f962cecdd0112e68eec56c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe30e…8edfbacked No | 1c | 11,251$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 25c | 7,739$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,812.11 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…0f96backed No | 6c | 7,418$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2255…b765backed No | 3c | 5,878$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked No | 2c | 5,570$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 1c | 5,351$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8f…4a0fbacked No | 4c | 4,521$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…6ea7backed No | 1c | 4,338$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…4d3dbacked No | 6c | 3,697$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…700dbacked No | 1c | 3,545$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 55c | 3,529$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.57 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 1c | 3,022$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 2,874$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd26…d693backed No | 1c | 2,629$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 2c | 2,468$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…4eb7backed No | 5c | 2,235$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 9c | 2,113$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.12 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…48fabacked No | 1c | 2,058$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 5c | 1,868$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0edd…b01cbacked No | 1c | 1,741$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…46d0backed No | 7c | 1,739$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fe…067dbacked No | 1c | 1,669$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f9…20eabacked No | 1c | 1,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…f628backed No | 5c | 1,555$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9a…904cbacked No | 1c | 1,501$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd712…228dbacked No | 1c | 1,490$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked Yes | 8c | 1,487$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.4 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.39per pick | 40cpaid | +245.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…1bcfbacked No | 2c | 1,391$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0372…8404backed Yes | 26c | 1,337$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +155.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc4…65e6backed No | 2c | 1,335$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 10c | 1,144$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.87 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0423…bc2abacked No | 11c | 1,130$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…d576backed No | 48c | 1,049$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…a242backed No | 5c | 1,001$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…7ccabacked No | 2c | 984.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 78c | 830.7$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked No | 2c | 799.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed No | 3c | 766.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 12c | 762.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 43c | 762.18$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.02 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…6b1ebacked No | 7c | 704.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed No | 35c | 697.93$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…e341backed Yes | 23c | 681.17$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +341%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 44c | 649.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd94e…e127backed No | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 52c | 499.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.88 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 8c | 447.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.1 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2b…66b9backed No | 3c | 445.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Yes | 6c | 435$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,500.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf34…6635backed Yes | 9c | 423$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,057.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a42…b1a5backed Yes | 76c | 419.36$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 21c | 401.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d5…5c3bbacked No | 34c | 368.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…21e8backed No | 10c | 350$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 47c | 343.45$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…fe5ebacked No | 4c | 338.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…b328backed No | 10c | 310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 40c | 307.34$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…6112backed No | 73c | 293.61$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed Yes | 51c | 275.84$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446f…7d4bbacked No | 50c | 271.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 10c | 245$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +929.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked No | 42c | 236.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 11c | 234$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +189.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…7b3ebacked No | 9c | 210.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 27c | 204.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…a21fbacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…8db7backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 78c | 185.89$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked Yes | 70c | 177.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ac…cd93backed Yes | 6c | 167.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ba…5b15backed Yes | 12c | 167.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +257%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cf…2258backed No | 19c | 153.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 9c | 147$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd4…5beabacked No | 21c | 145.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 141$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5906…c04cbacked No | 18c | 139.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 70c | 130$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 16c | 115$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…dcd8backed No | 72c | 110.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea3…1c07backed Yes | 67c | 107.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…7526backed No | 10c | 101.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…37acbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e3…d1bdbacked No | 21c | 97.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…2ba7backed No | 44c | 66.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…3ef6backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…7e30backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…0d22backed Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb2…9dadbacked No | 44c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 61c | 39.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc5…7521backed No | 43c | 37.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…0c5bbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ba…ad90backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 73c | 19.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ca…ca7cbacked Yes | 80c | 14.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.