TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe38e…c29dbacked No80c27,433$21,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,946.413050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes22c12,380$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,675.7567042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes62c9,161$5,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,482.116,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes20c5,845$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,675.641241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+41.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes80c5,337$4,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.019450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No24c4,191$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.24454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes20c4,162$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.61,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes60c4,130$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.928736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce2…5d4ebacked Yes49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes21c3,077$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.8422932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes19c2,500$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.9918433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No80c2,273$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.6690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c2,159$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.184,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No51c2,059$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.1815049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes49c1,984$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.032634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No53c1,861$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.6935758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No79c1,657$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.4731655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes23c1,572$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.4430666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes20c1,495$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.7827235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No79c1,478$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.4210357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No63c1,250$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.7151542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Yes21c1,197$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.82030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No79c999.97$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.9846651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes21c952.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.38812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked No51c950$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Yes72c827.84$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes5c824.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.9419743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes20c650$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5205232.7%17 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40029238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2bf…2ab3backed Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes20c494.6$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.683540%14 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes69c451$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3361441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ce…f74dbacked No32c422.25$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x261a…2989backed Yes47c415.68$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No80c410$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32821154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes20c400$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3206225.8%16 W · 46 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83d…8d68backed Yes20c370$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+161.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No33c333$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8925836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed No31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0110…3b75backed Yes20c319.05$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.241844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No50c310$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24332822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes31c258.27$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.398230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd00…e43ebacked Yes20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…d004backed No68c240$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick73cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2052…529fbacked Yes77c232.01$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.36540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No5c231.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.594235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked No36c223.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes19c221$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0168942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Yes22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No54c198.04$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4827454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No47c196.78$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9319244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes24c192.84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.920425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes50c176.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3930050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed No21c170.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.381662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d82…7d33backed Yes50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…2accbacked Yes24c124.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.911163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+71%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes19c120.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9729427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…ad1bbacked Yes20c120.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes47c117.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0214156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed Yes65c115.17$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.179359.1%55 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ef…7b8abacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+56.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x582b…20afbacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x346e…1eb7backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+68.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed No51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes20c99.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.15541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…bda6backed Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc6…3629backed Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd98b…58debacked Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.911926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed No53c84.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452025%5 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7afb…ff15backed Yes23c78.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.792931%9 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5385…9b12backed Yes32c77.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.55650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+53.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No80c72$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde5a…2875backed Yes21c71.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.431030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes20c70$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes78c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.611557.4%66 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes20c65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5220446.6%95 W · 109 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed No40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes19c55.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0517958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4591…df1bbacked No55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95d1…817ebacked No37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes19c52.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9254128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf9…c886backed Yes20c52.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…e758backed Yes21c52.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.382236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked No52c51.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.57347.9%35 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Yes59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a0…e8b9backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403129%9 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3af5…c533backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed No55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+46.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.