La Liga · resolved market
Will Mallorca win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0df5782b01de0db8d3a66467171f50d5322a83a01cbd2b4ae985ed557f5838f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 38c | 100,000$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 62c | 99,937$61,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,961.21 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 60c | 27,005$16,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,203.19 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 40c | 15,704$6,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,422.43 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 9,126$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.92 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked No | 62c | 1,170$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.4 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 38c | 931.84$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.74 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Yes | 39c | 860.03$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 32c | 626.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 560.16$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.24 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 44c | 455$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.8 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 40c | 325.35$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.12 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 28c | 232.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…ede8backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 32c | 151.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 40c | 135$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d3aabacked Yes | 40c | 92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked No | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 57c | 74.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 37c | 66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Yes | 71c | 56.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed No | 62c | 52.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 39c | 51.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2b…3df4backed Yes | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 37c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 47c | 32.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 60c | 24.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 61c | 20.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…4239backed Yes | 69c | 18.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mallorca win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Alaves win on 2025-09-27?No won
- Will Mallorca vs. Alaves end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.