La Liga · resolved market
Will Mallorca vs. Alaves end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x882c555d39e17e86d5ce72be27ce4841223affb4553ec7dd91e28e58e9a923e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 35c | 4,319$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 66c | 3,882$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.69 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 34c | 3,518$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.88 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 66c | 2,151$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.34 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 65c | 1,990$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.72 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 13c | 385.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 66c | 330.91$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.51 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 261$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 33c | 225.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 67c | 214$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed No | 68c | 175.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 113.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 32c | 106.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 73c | 101.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 66c | 66.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 68c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mallorca vs. Alaves end in a draw?this page
- Will Alaves win on 2025-09-27?No won
- Will Mallorca win on 2025-09-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.