MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ebacebaa478e4ff8a04b45df5e045f3c85e7d6ad5a8e5649a04c0aabe1fe5e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $579,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $527,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $579,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 246,865$105,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,936.59 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 80,146$42,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,980.79 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 60,000$34,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,199.99 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 9c | 49,298$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436.83 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 20,734$11,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,818.55 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 45c | 19,327$8,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,712.42 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 18,072$7,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,409.48 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 31c | 14,412$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455.2 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 13,687$7,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,823.48 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Chicago Cubs | 30c | 13,431$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,033.95 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 10,228$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 10,058$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.97 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.99 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 9,232$5,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,307.47 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 8,771$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.47 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 8,640$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971.4 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Houston Astros | 43c | 8,139$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.33 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 7,339$4,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.71 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 6,000$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,448.47 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 5,875$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.31 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c6b0backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 4,999$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 43c | 4,834$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.19 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Houston Astros | 65c | 4,733$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.97 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 4,600$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs | 21c | 4,365$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.2 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 62c | 3,784$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.01 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 42c | 3,350$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.06 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 3,141$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.21 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Chicago Cubs | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 42c | 2,805$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.76 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 13c | 2,772$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.09 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 68c | 2,705$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.38 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 2,561$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 2,464$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.71 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Chicago Cubs | 14c | 2,451$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.6 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 2,341$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.31 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,094$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.83 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Chicago Cubs | 30c | 2,043$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.87 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,000$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.63 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,816$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.53 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed Houston Astros | 62c | 1,800$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.74 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Houston Astros | 63c | 1,781$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,595$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,552$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,551$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.58 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,420$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.62 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,417$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.68 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 1,282$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.01 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,227$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…0690backed Houston Astros | 62c | 1,201$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.29 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 11c | 1,168$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,158$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,150$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.5 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…b0a6backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,067$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,050$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 1,009$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.13 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 934$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.01 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…e520backed Houston Astros | 42c | 899.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 42c | 779.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.99 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555b…c93dbacked Houston Astros | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 708.96$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 708.55$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.96 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 692.9$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.32 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Chicago Cubs | 10c | 649.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 635$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.95 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 614.03$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…9e98backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 607.47$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 592.67$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.59 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Houston Astros | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Houston Astros | 43c | 581.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.36 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 580$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 561.74$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.08 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Houston Astros | 42c | 530.76$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.84 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…ba7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 64c | 515.32$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.99 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 509.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chicago Cubs | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Houston Astros | 42c | 500$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 51c | 478.31$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.71 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Houston Astros | 42c | 476$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 471.56$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.79 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Houston Astros | 42c | 450$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 441.38$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 409.97$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.08 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Chicago Cubs | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.