MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccec144400f23a170eeefd1e3fbd81e4a396415e9cdb44e613368eeb872c3e4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $516,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $591,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 300,000$139,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,999.88 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Under | 53c | 221,475$118,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,193.48 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 46c | 99,489$45,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,687.61 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 55c | 73,688$40,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,159.78 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 53c | 31,950$16,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,016.5 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 20,457$10,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,620.58 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 15,250$8,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,022.74 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 55c | 11,516$6,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.02 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 53c | 8,124$4,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.49 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 48c | 7,200$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc089…633cbacked Under | 55c | 6,215$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 53c | 5,613$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.21 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 5,271$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.26 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 47c | 4,176$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.68 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 46c | 1,609$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 1,600$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.44 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 55c | 1,445$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.03 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 25c | 1,253$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.38 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 55c | 955$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.75 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 588.51$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.94 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Under | 53c | 573.04$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.66 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 55c | 529$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.05 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 59c | 491.53$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.53 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 46c | 445.33$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.85 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 55c | 426.73$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.54 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 381.25$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 53c | 365.16$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.47 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 37c | 363.74$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.02 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 299.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Under | 56c | 278.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Under | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Under | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 53c | 270.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.22 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 259.84$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.32 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Under | 57c | 242.62$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 218.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Under | 53c | 192.3$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 53c | 169.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…71cebacked Under | 55c | 142.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 122.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…354dbacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 54c | 113$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb33f…a495backed Under | 55c | 105.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked Over | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 52c | 100.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 46c | 89.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 44c | 88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Under | 61c | 81.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 53c | 80.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 45c | 77.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Under | 54c | 72.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Under | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Under | 53c | 58.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 45c | 52.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 45c | 51.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 37c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 45c | 45.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…14ccbacked Under | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 44.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f4…fac7backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Over | 62c | 40.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…f942backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…9c47backed Under | 55c | 36.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7e…9b98backed Under | 55c | 33.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 56c | 32.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 62c | 30.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Under | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd91…b49abacked Under | 55c | 29.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d58…4af0backed Under | 54c | 27.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 53c | 24.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Under | 53c | 23.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago CubsHouston Astros won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.