WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs. Lynx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x780f038a0e1c8e8971392ec3d81962b6a9ba62a729cd30503482d523804e324b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Valkyries, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Lynx | 73c | 6,076$4,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.26 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Lynx | 73c | 5,317$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Valkyries | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 27c | 4,010$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.22 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lynx | 74c | 2,527$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.33 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Valkyries | 16c | 2,152$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.62 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Valkyries | 26c | 1,861$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.13 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Valkyries | 19c | 1,584$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.96 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Lynx | 72c | 1,176$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lynx | 74c | 1,130$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.88 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Valkyries | 30c | 1,086$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.21 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Valkyries | 26c | 957.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.08 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Valkyries | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Valkyries | 28c | 600$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Valkyries | 25c | 599.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Valkyries | 26c | 534.79$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Valkyries | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Valkyries | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Valkyries | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lynx | 72c | 303.67$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Valkyries | 27c | 288$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8540…8363backed Valkyries | 27c | 276.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Valkyries | 6c | 272.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Valkyries | 26c | 268.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Valkyries | 18c | 259.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Valkyries | 28c | 250.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Valkyries | 13c | 220.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lynx | 73c | 207$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 399 | 50.4%201 W · 198 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Lynx | 72c | 206.9$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Valkyries | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Valkyries | 28c | 194.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lynx | 78c | 180$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Valkyries | 25c | 156.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lynx | 73c | 146.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Lynx | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Lynx | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Valkyries | 10c | 113.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lynx | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…9e98backed Lynx | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cb…6d71backed Valkyries | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Lynx | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valkyries | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…1f8cbacked Valkyries | 34c | 58.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666a…8116backed Lynx | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Valkyries | 27c | 48.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Lynx | 74c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked Lynx | 76c | 32.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Lynx | 67c | 23.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Lynx | 75c | 22.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Lynx | 74c | 21.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.