TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Stars, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b2e…09c8backed Stars45c81,973$36,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,887.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ea…26cebacked Jets55c81,900$45,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,8551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Jets55c18,271$10,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,220.971040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Stars45c7,800$3,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,506.1292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cea…cf6fbacked Stars45c7,455$3,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,354.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a25…d27dbacked Stars45c6,685$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,008.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b01…22dcbacked Jets55c6,306$3,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dc3…802abacked Jets55c6,268$3,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Stars45c5,267$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.2222842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3501,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Stars1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Jets78c1,893$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.2625340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Stars45c1,864$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.9149351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Stars46c1,830$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.820147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Jets56c1,791$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.515261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jets56c1,161$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.77955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars46c1,082$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.6986649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec05…5fb3backed Jets55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3bf…ff11backed Jets55c866.94$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ec…41a5backed Stars46c802.34$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.11060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Stars2c793.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8832331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars45c758.83$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.4797651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ace…9e30backed Jets55c698.38$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ecb…8bf8backed Stars45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2f2…7a3bbacked Jets55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba7c…a3cbbacked Stars45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars44c576.72$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.771,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd5…f500backed Jets56c527.89$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Stars45c509.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2772444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jets54c500$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.1585148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Stars47c446.76$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9833447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jets53c427$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.691,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf7…7a24backed Stars45c406$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.71172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+62.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Stars45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18079251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74cf…8833backed Stars45c320$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Stars45c299.26$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf823…b083backed Jets56c267.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.64955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a7…6a2abacked Jets55c256.44$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44bd…6e0cbacked Stars45c256$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7b…a0a0backed Jets55c256$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.21450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94ee…3fbebacked Stars45c221.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Stars12c205.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc3…b723backed Jets55c203$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.351154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81c…c43abacked Jets55c203$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.351346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf4…665ebacked Jets55c202$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.91050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x159a…e9c2backed Stars45c202$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.91450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c85…f6e2backed Stars45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x582e…679bbacked Jets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2487…6530backed Jets55c160.9$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51a6…5c40backed Stars45c160.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d6b…066ebacked Jets55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4765…8aecbacked Stars45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc51d…7addbacked Stars45c145$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7329…2235backed Jets55c145$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a52…502cbacked Jets56c142.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Stars46c140.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5565345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1915…98a1backed Jets55c133$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c1…d69ebacked Stars45c133$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5494…50f5backed Stars45c120.58$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.261668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9361…05abbacked Jets56c114.91$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.562055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Jets57c106.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc553…38a7backed Jets56c105.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.381675%12 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc928…b4c4backed Stars47c100.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jets56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4435154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Stars45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4560549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb30b…2af1backed Stars45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Jets55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4550857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bc…2503backed Jets55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8199…6f79backed Stars47c98.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.540%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbda9…3d16backed Jets55c96.04$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f4a…61c1backed Stars45c94.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.481936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Jets53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3416447.6%78 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b79…0694backed Jets55c93.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf794…d782backed Jets55c92.56$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6780…82dfbacked Stars47c91.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9e…4d07backed Stars45c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd32c…a1e3backed Jets55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+104.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc342…1718backed Jets55c87.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c3…b2a1backed Stars46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1c…06c9backed Stars46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405940.7%24 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9734…4617backed Stars46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4043456%243 W · 191 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Stars47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa30a…37afbacked Jets55c84.73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5957…75edbacked Stars47c84.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06ae…6e4fbacked Stars47c83.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd4f…2ce5backed Stars47c81.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53c5…9a52backed Jets55c80.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Stars45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369352.7%49 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x930d…49e6backed Jets55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+104.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5263…46bebacked Stars45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0229…c95cbacked Jets56c78.25$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.433964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Stars46c75.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7516437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd49…cae9backed Stars46c73.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8e…bc92backed Stars45c73.05$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.87875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Jets55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7311558.3%67 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd026…8156backed Jets55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5220…4e88backed Jets55c72.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.183868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7054…6d9bbacked Stars47c71.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.81637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.