TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,355

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed No49c3,734$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.237458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Yes26c2,864$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.084829.2%14 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes28c2,506$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.939235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes26c2,500$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No79c2,031$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.5521153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No76c2,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.938453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9840046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No74c1,902$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.349754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed No77c1,700$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3092653.8%14 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick71cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes22c1,600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.992615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No75c1,444$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0836055%33 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No9c1,389$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.225413%7 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes27c1,296$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.39037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes25c1,181$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.7110445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No76c1,107$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84439561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fef…3589backed No77c1,099$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.84650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1952…31dfbacked No74c1,092$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.08616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No74c1,017$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.5590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes26c978.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.9811342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No80c941.75$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.2837652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No18c925.57$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5336954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1d73…0dd6backed Yes26c808$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+289.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes27c750.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.716137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed No76c750$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes79c690.47$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14544939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes25c643.98$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.6217447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No73c625.88$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.9679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fbe…d6d5backed Yes31c603.23$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.23944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked No76c600$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4562777.8%21 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes25c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes17c576$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4761070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+66.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes24c545.25$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.3917837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No73c411.98$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7583459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30032736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2963345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb474…a4bcbacked No74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2961877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes25c399.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.9914732%47 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed No76c394.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004372.1%31 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Yes24c388.82$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.52259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcf…76e3backed Yes23c376.27$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+338.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36a8…8718backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.372548%12 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes26c350$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes23c350$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.58747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes26c321.42$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.641154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+84.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Yes25c300$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Yes22c300$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.581040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36cf…34b4backed Yes25c272$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+76.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea6a…e97abacked Yes26c269.23$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed No19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Yes26c261.28$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.28875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+70.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No79c260.85$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed Yes21c250.1$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.812718.5%5 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes18c246$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.041233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83da…41f7backed No76c243.42$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Yes25c218$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.52642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes24c199.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9942048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a62…744cbacked Yes25c194.69$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+298%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes25c183.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13729238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No74c175$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.181559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe82a…dcc6backed No15c160$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf0…5c64backed No76c159.04$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.871485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick76cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No74c140$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.119735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked No80c125.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes21c125$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.754055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed No76c120$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.752065%13 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes78c110$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.826054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes22c104.36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.41040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49e0…676fbacked No77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+63.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e62…4d07backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No16c99.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94ee…3fbebacked Yes25c99.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+78.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes15c93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0528070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609949.5%49 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No76c79.92$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6142862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb30c…7ab2backed No75c77.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c41…5cd2backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.438339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6173…4258backed Yes23c64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.285026%13 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcaf7…6165backed Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7b…f74ebacked No75c60$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c16…31eabacked Yes21c50.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.991020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eec…3e48backed Yes79c48.54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed Yes27c44.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8c…48d5backed Yes25c40.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick21cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6db…7587backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308100%8 W · 0 L+4.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+135.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No74c34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1652060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No74c34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed No76c32.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed No76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206266.1%41 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f1…a901backed No77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf624…acc7backed No76c21.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01fd…e674backed No75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.