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NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Islanders, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,252 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa0fe…6b76backed Islanders36c4,132$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x650b…4b9bbacked Islanders36c3,069$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.9330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff4…eaf1backed Kings64c2,453$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c66…db31backed Kings64c2,423$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcfa…5ffbbacked Kings64c2,325$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Islanders35c2,122$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.6711533%38 W · 77 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d8…a851backed Islanders36c1,578$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.281442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8655…a314backed Kings64c1,573$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.281435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Kings65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4615261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9dd…a1d9backed Kings64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Islanders36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd456…5755backed Kings64c1,079$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…ccb0backed Islanders36c1,079$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders35c1,032$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.131,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Kings64c999.97$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9927958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings63c999.93$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.971,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders38c941.29$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.8672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Islanders35c649.97$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4931849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d2…fcf1backed Islanders37c591$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.931127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94c7…ae99backed Kings64c546$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.561266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5d…37cdbacked Kings64c516$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.761145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings63c499.85$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kings63c486.49$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18049351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Islanders36c462.26$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.419251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders35c446.09$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.091,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Islanders23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Kings64c356.01$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0333145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Islanders9c345.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.432331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…b4e5backed Kings64c274$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.64875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd348…0c07backed Islanders36c272$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.921250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf0…03b7backed Kings63c266$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.421070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15a7…336dbacked Islanders37c266$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.42944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b7e…31d7backed Islanders36c258$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Kings65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.524347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa769…f52dbacked Islanders37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe01b…2d8fbacked Kings63c250$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+72.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders13c246.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9491334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Islanders41c243.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e58…5b3ebacked Islanders36c215$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.41040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed Islanders37c209.66$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.583842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Islanders43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8633447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x159a…e9c2backed Kings64c187$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.321450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0995…fa39backed Islanders36c187$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.321040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings71c181.14$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.744848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Kings63c167.01$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7915663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Kings64c166$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7630549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Islanders27c153.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.623,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c52…42efbacked Islanders36c146.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.23728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6800…5cf5backed Kings63c144$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.281580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+54.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x43a3…2a65backed Islanders37c144$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafad…e291backed Islanders37c141.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5948…877abacked Islanders37c136.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x847b…bae4backed Islanders37c134.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac52…1208backed Islanders37c132.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…c6e1backed Islanders37c122.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Kings80c121.54$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.316465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Islanders36c117.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.421428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46ef…7ecbbacked Islanders36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x424a…55cfbacked Kings65c110.77$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.771050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2b…525abacked Islanders38c107$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-55.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3535154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3650857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Islanders37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3728542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde37…3624backed Kings59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Islanders35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3527643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Kings64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Islanders36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Kings70c90$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2758467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd4a6…86c9backed Kings64c90$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.47962%49 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings62c89.07$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d3d…ce68backed Islanders37c87.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.231758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7a…b08dbacked Kings65c82.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b09…4753backed Kings65c82.32$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d8c…c6d9backed Kings65c81.08$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa47d…c6acbacked Kings65c79.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.952050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Islanders36c79.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4929748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4667…3f38backed Kings65c78.11$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fba…22f2backed Kings65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1de4…ffd6backed Kings65c75.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.59650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d41…82cabacked Kings65c75.57$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe52a…cb4abacked Kings65c74.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.245100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18dc…6e79backed Islanders37c69.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.652653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef4c…94cdbacked Kings65c67.77$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+128.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Kings66c62.58$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2814844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Islanders20c57.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.689863.3%62 W · 36 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2492…bc8bbacked Kings65c57.54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd8…cde6backed Kings65c53.46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cde…99edbacked Kings65c52.55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1005…1154backed Islanders40c50.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb542…6f8cbacked Islanders37c48.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x184c…6828backed Kings65c47.03$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Kings65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1511157.7%64 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Kings65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1525358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0755…b1fdbacked Kings65c46.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.142070%14 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x67c2…4a22backed Islanders37c45.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.