NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c009920743b961789569055b077e9e0d7d94c4593935eb8bc025d1c240f2ef1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Red Wings, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8deb…8449backed Senators | 61c | 12,980$7,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Red Wings | 40c | 10,523$4,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,168.24 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4c…a207backed Red Wings | 39c | 7,333$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 60c | 5,948$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.51 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a83…8015backed Red Wings | 39c | 5,640$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e996backed Senators | 60c | 5,169$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 42cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Red Wings | 7c | 3,462$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Red Wings | 2c | 2,897$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Red Wings | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Red Wings | 38c | 1,897$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.76 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Senators | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.26 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Red Wings | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Senators | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…48abbacked Red Wings | 9c | 1,358$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…c024backed Red Wings | 39c | 1,010$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Senators | 60c | 1,000$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.02 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Senators | 61c | 978.72$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.7 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Senators | 58c | 975.55$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.73 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Senators | 61c | 960$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 65c | 903.62$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.47 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…d32dbacked Senators | 61c | 699.52$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Senators | 61c | 654.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.2 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…24fabacked Senators | 60c | 578.79$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Red Wings | 38c | 519.95$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.08 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Senators | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe654…b727backed Red Wings | 40c | 493.09$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Red Wings | 40c | 450$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…d482backed Red Wings | 40c | 446.43$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.57 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings | 39c | 400.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae5…876dbacked Senators | 61c | 334.1$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…fcf1backed Senators | 61c | 333$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…2d8fbacked Red Wings | 39c | 333$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Senators | 61c | 327.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.32 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…03b7backed Red Wings | 39c | 312$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…b4e5backed Senators | 61c | 312$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7a…8b82backed Senators | 61c | 311.55$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 61c | 311.54$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce19…08a6backed Red Wings | 40c | 295.45$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdacc…8476backed Senators | 61c | 279$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7e…31d7backed Red Wings | 39c | 279$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…3651backed Senators | 60c | 263$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…f370backed Red Wings | 40c | 263$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf4…665ebacked Senators | 61c | 260$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c7…ae99backed Red Wings | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Wings | 39c | 255.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…141cbacked Red Wings | 40c | 254$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…dd3dbacked Senators | 60c | 254$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…16bfbacked Senators | 61c | 253.93$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…5c35backed Red Wings | 40c | 250.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Red Wings | 47c | 241.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd8…21ccbacked Red Wings | 39c | 241$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…8efcbacked Senators | 61c | 241$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5457…90d8backed Red Wings | 39c | 237$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…9463backed Senators | 61c | 237$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…c43abacked Red Wings | 39c | 233$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe32…5e5dbacked Senators | 61c | 233$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…eab3backed Senators | 61c | 222.61$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…eb0abacked Senators | 61c | 222.23$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Red Wings | 39c | 221.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…cbcbbacked Senators | 61c | 221$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…6045backed Red Wings | 39c | 221$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6a…ea96backed Senators | 60c | 220$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…5b2bbacked Red Wings | 40c | 220$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44bd…6e0cbacked Senators | 61c | 218$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…a5e8backed Red Wings | 39c | 218$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…548fbacked Red Wings | 40c | 216$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…bf79backed Senators | 61c | 203.3$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings | 41c | 200.08$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda36…582fbacked Red Wings | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5589…5017backed Red Wings | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…a1c6backed Senators | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…e9eebacked Red Wings | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…2421backed Senators | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…1b6bbacked Senators | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…365bbacked Red Wings | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…3834backed Senators | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Red Wings | 39c | 196$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…7a24backed Senators | 60c | 188$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…aa19backed Red Wings | 40c | 188$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Senators | 78c | 185.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…2498backed Red Wings | 40c | 185$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…e9c2backed Senators | 60c | 185$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…1a9dbacked Senators | 61c | 184$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ed…0f86backed Red Wings | 39c | 184$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x291f…dc62backed Senators | 62c | 181.44$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b7…df8dbacked Senators | 61c | 179.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Senators | 71c | 174.73$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…2dcebacked Senators | 61c | 170.02$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e70…0907backed Red Wings | 39c | 170$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…0388backed Senators | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c9…5d17backed Red Wings | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…549bbacked Senators | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Red Wings | 23c | 169.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0995…fa39backed Senators | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070e…ab83backed Red Wings | 39c | 165$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Senators | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Senators | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Senators | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…50a3backed Senators | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.