TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Everton win on 2025-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,589 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes41c4,590$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9049235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No54c4,566$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.2813547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No62c3,345$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.2714732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes41c3,170$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.421241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes23c2,584$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No63c2,266$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.5738645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes37c2,174$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No56c2,000$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7741437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No61c1,995$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.5540640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed No57c1,741$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.386100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad7c…004dbacked No54c1,282$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…bdf1backed Yes45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24cc…d737backed Yes38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed Yes46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes45c748.8$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.4790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b05…7535backed No67c700$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes46c650.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes47c644.08$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No55c638$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.131944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes44c609.01$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9779650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27619735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed No57c527.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8812053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2258453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed No65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1755141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes44c416$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0417447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No55c409$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.056167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1741…cffbbacked No55c322.38$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed No55c305.45$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.455345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No54c270.1$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2583459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes45c259$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5521445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes46c250.91$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4232736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89f7…48bfbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No54c217$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.827335.6%26 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes43c207.88$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.289754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…6819backed Yes46c205.48$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No54c188.48$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.77159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No54c185.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…114dbacked Yes45c179.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No54c171.63$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9540046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No57c169.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4237652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed Yes46c146.66$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+72.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3de…1e93backed Yes46c140$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf9c…b505backed No54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes46c136.96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6311855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes46c136.96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6313449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ce8…3d08backed No54c136$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d7f…be71backed Yes46c136$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfb…bea8backed No55c135.45$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No54c130$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.81,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1499…264dbacked Yes46c130$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5364…8816backed No54c130$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac8…211abacked Yes46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa428…5f09backed No54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No56c115.21$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.694566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507061.4%43 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x713f…0d19backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f2…7950backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf585…f019backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ff…3791backed No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked Yes45c96.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4360%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3348…45ccbacked Yes46c93.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb28…76b0backed Yes46c91.72$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed No55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.917536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6412…98f4backed No54c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb932…a394backed Yes46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7033…c63ebacked Yes46c89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdcd…6ae2backed No54c89$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Yes46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e1c…06c9backed Yes46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeae7…6506backed Yes46c83.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No56c80.86$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5866031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae67…15a6backed No54c78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7555…4583backed Yes46c76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab71…6f34backed Yes46c76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.962123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb0d3…f1c1backed No54c76$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc084…8769backed No55c71.65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes46c71.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.813545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0de4…2d29backed Yes26c71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.461118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x420f…4582backed No55c66.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5174…1153backed No54c66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…5e4cbacked Yes46c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c0…711dbacked Yes46c62.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No54c62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5231359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9628…8766backed Yes46c59.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8763…6cc0backed Yes46c59.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa387…aea0backed No55c59.24$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4cf…91cebacked No55c59.05$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33ed…e598backed No55c58.16$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked No55c56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.212357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3808…1c17backed Yes46c55.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bff…331cbacked No65c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.521346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed No55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.552445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.