Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham win on 2025-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29061312b495a5c4bbc5c8905d4e27b5252942a9226faadd607dea2a45ad37f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 11,011$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.7 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 74c | 5,628$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.44 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 52c | 5,092$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.27 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes | 75c | 4,077$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 46c | 3,155$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.98 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Yes | 27c | 1,866$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 74c | 1,735$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.22 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Yes | 77c | 1,225$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 74c | 1,038$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,018$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.37 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Yes | 79c | 760.76$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 722.11$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.75 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 7c | 650$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 26c | 399.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 18c | 384.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.45 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 73c | 380.29$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Yes | 24c | 299.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed No | 76c | 262.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 258.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 25c | 199.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5d…d3cdbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed No | 24c | 143.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 43c | 116$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Yes | 77c | 107.18$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…1251backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…dc52backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d922backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…8520backed No | 79c | 88.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…a0a4backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…f37ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4004…fa48backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 24c | 75.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 74c | 74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd003…2aa1backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd86…f2dcbacked Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…fa60backed Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 74c | 69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…5e3ebacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…ce7bbacked Yes | 27c | 67.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 47c | 64.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…382ebacked No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 24c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…5723backed No | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3a…eda0backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…1613backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…f046backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 69c | 32.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83da…41f7backed No | 76c | 28.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 74c | 22.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…1f8ebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…86c9backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham win on 2025-03-15?this page
- Will Everton vs. West Ham end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Everton win on 2025-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.