TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-03-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1bb…5a78backed Yes60c73,500$44,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,4001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc130…1bb6backed No40c73,500$29,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes27c12,074$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,818.193863.2%24 W · 14 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc6d2…cfb1backed No75c9,691$7,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,259.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+72.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes25c6,871$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,130.9533055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d6b…6509backed No75c6,671$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes29c5,050$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,575.4926022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes31c4,144$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,856.029742.3%41 W · 56 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed No72c3,790$2,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick71cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No71c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.965269.2%36 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No71c2,728$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.737862.8%49 W · 29 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae8b…5f7cbacked No73c1,446$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+121.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7f…105bbacked Yes27c1,444$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+114.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No70c1,054$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.217566.7%50 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes26c1,014$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.189145.1%41 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed No74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No73c954.23$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6993672.2%26 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed No71c869$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.991050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Yes72c769.44$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Yes29c750$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.51520%3 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed No33c608.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa933…6077backed Yes62c538.33$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No4c521.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.871127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick14cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3608749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No69c436$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8424655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes31c387.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.15232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes48c371.88$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.671050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2868…89f8backed Yes29c266.94$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+231.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x922c…31d7backed Yes29c252.73$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed No71c249.99$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.491866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes29c238.92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.637759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd0d9…45cabacked Yes29c226.72$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+72.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x340a…de7abacked Yes27c222$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa882…d89cbacked No73c222$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes27c219.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.712737%47 W · 80 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad0a…9661backed Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…a34cbacked No72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No70c195.69$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9810452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4623…42ffbacked Yes27c191$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed No60c167.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-56.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee1d…7a12backed No72c152.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb1…d3aebacked Yes28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe646…6450backed No72c150$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.938030%24 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaf7…6165backed Yes30c133.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid+19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa636…ca83backed Yes27c133$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0617…cf8abacked No73c133$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed No62c130.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick66cpaid-36.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6acd…999bbacked Yes28c130$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13f8…b5e6backed No72c130$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x524a…cc8abacked Yes28c120$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf537…32a3backed No72c120$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71b0…3236backed No73c111$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa66…15bdbacked Yes27c111$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7014733.3%49 W · 98 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed No38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed No71c98.51$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.791369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ac…a716backed No73c98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.54366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes27c95.21$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.514042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No53c94.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.620655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x589c…e3e6backed No73c88.01$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No71c85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3523757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f0…9e66backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes31c80.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.652157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef4…3ec6backed No72c79$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x696a…5391backed No73c71.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e03…9431backed Yes27c70$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick41cpaid+177.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x219e…3be0backed No73c69.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes30c67.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.17850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+86%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6173…4258backed No69c67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.231926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8314…1730backed No30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+45.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd19…8436backed No73c65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c2…4420backed No73c64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x208a…b8a3backed Yes28c62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.69961.6%61 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38e9…cb34backed Yes28c59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1406…7e33backed Yes27c58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19c3…ea4ebacked Yes28c53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+143.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdb1…4253backed Yes29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a0…5663backed Yes29c47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf53b…c33dbacked Yes27c47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb93a…c472backed Yes28c46.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+144.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.64436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No33c36.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0512243.4%53 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed No73c34.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254261.9%26 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9982…5e4dbacked No72c34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+163.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No70c33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12070%14 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63f6…30f0backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No38c32.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.263839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x329b…c012backed No73c31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b6…776bbacked No72c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No71c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8814252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No71c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8810852.8%57 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc30e…616fbacked No73c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…0cbbbacked No72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd498…2ed6backed No74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x089d…f9ddbacked No72c27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.