Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AZ Alkmaar vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1debc67839775f52a61953e3b55d8d04af2847d4fd9caa0a4f0438b8e5b77fc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f3d…7e3cbacked Yes | 26c | 10,004$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…69bbbacked No | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 23c | 2,081$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 73c | 1,338$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.37 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 73c | 1,021$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.75 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 70c | 985.39$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.47 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 25c | 833.09$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.27 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 71c | 804.88$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.42 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 27c | 750$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 25c | 577.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.46 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…aa84backed Yes | 27c | 577.63$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 27c | 518.72$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…73d7backed No | 75c | 457.33$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 412$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…c3f3backed Yes | 24c | 409$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…a0b7backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…18fcbacked Yes | 27c | 365.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 74c | 330.14$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 26c | 294.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d99…37c3backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…3229backed Yes | 26c | 255.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…6005backed Yes | 27c | 251.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…21ecbacked No | 76c | 189$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…186ebacked Yes | 26c | 180$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…8816backed No | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf678…9664backed Yes | 26c | 140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…7870backed No | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…0853backed Yes | 27c | 122.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…a752backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…1e93backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0b…9fa9backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…4e58backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…b07dbacked No | 75c | 99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed No | 75c | 95.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070e…3518backed Yes | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 89.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c96…bb48backed No | 74c | 88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…37dfbacked Yes | 26c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 76c | 87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 24c | 87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa9…7576backed No | 74c | 78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…cab6backed Yes | 26c | 78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…9d72backed No | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 29c | 69.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac8…211abacked No | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…b043backed Yes | 26c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d0…b2f5backed No | 76c | 67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9649…64c0backed Yes | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143f…1ad2backed Yes | 25c | 58.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…0caabacked Yes | 25c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9530…3066backed Yes | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…7009backed Yes | 24c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 48.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaea…3bd1backed No | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…c1f9backed No | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854a…996dbacked No | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7601…104abacked No | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8472…e67dbacked No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8a…5213backed No | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…75c8backed No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d09…fbd2backed No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a3…f21ebacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…1bccbacked No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…a457backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…a912backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc6…a150backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128d…d6acbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9520…da18backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ Alkmaar vs. Tottenham end in a draw?this page
- Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-03-06?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.