TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over40c39,999$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,999.761250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c30,179$18,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,982.275,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7583…4df2backed Over50c13,322$6,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,614.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under55c4,176$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.855846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over49c3,673$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under57c3,443$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.812,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under59c3,386$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.314948.3%72 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over32c2,926$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.5724323%56 W · 187 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c2,500$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.2238849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c2,500$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.4239649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9803855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under49c1,794$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.3512639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under61c1,757$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.086547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c1,671$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.631,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under60c1,520$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.9337153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417d…f3c5backed Over48c1,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under65c1,281$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.884266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Under50c1,255$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over43c1,152$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.671,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under70c1,076$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.653842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under48c1,050$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.032857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over45c1,028$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.52445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+80%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5702653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4909246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e4…b4aabacked Under51c999.96$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under60c935$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37419354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e0…7387backed Under58c855.19$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.18683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under47c848.37$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.376238.7%24 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under67c814.15$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.232,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over2c774.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8792835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c766.63$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.951,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under60c716.72$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.922,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over39c710.91$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4527964.9%181 W · 98 L+28.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over44c670.2$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.391643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under60c583.39$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9723859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under51c519.24$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3135751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under61c481.21$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4531960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0458…92e9backed Under52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.771250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over51c426.73$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.632657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Under60c408.56$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.583658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over50c400.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+62.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under50c399.49$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.18859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over37c388.14$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6114429.2%42 W · 102 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Over51c377.22$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under50c362.76$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.381,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under58c341.03$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.234369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a0f…d336backed Under50c302$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over48c284$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.323243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under59c259.44$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5112542.4%53 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over47c248.92$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.086950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009344.1%41 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5247…ece7backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb15e…6c15backed Over48c225$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under52c216.95$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under46c208.72$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.769241.3%38 W · 54 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over33c204.09$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.35922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-50.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.988854.5%48 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over40c199.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9911546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over45c197.47$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2377056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ae4…011ebacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014047.1%66 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under57c195.13$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9513051.5%67 W · 63 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over42c189.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.396454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Over47c188.17$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.553815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-47.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Over43c170$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.12347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over11c169.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.581,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f25…e9a5backed Under59c143.38$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under51c139.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2714446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Over20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d89…a792backed Over49c120.75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under51c119.08$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.31,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c117$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.59747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445626.8%15 W · 41 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid+58.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda33…daccbacked Under70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389339.8%37 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over36c99.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under61c99.22$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5816659.6%99 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc909…5c2fbacked Under55c89.71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under46c86.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.315244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35f9…12a6backed Under63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61492.9%13 W · 1 L+5.6wins+0.40per pick53cpaid+79.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x005b…3c81backed Under52c76.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over34c75.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2625742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under58c74.01$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0813048.5%63 W · 67 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Under71c70.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.564654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52dc…33c9backed Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Over44c63.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-65.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x361a…ea72backed Under48c60.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.814752.4%77 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cd…cc1bbacked Under64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Under52c57.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.981464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over52c57.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6618646.2%86 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Under66c56.45$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.242661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaec8…c5d4backed Over50c56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.