TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,308 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa496…0f5abacked Over62c1,590$980 inWon+$609.24955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over45c1,538$686 inWon+$852.058132.1%26 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c647.94$281 inLost-$281.32,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under48c431.31$208 inLost-$207.7514948.3%72 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over53c420.98$225 inWon+$195.986592.3%60 W · 5 L+17.6wins+0.27per pick65cpaid+44.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over69c297.23$204 inWon+$93.215644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under31c235.1$73 inLost-$73.331,43435.2%505 W · 929 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over52c199.93$105 inWon+$94.972751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under50c154.2$77 inLost-$76.976547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x502c…728fbacked Over64c139.2$89 inWon+$50.2977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over67c111.41$75 inWon+$36.4133452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Under48c104.17$50 inLost-$505242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under49c97.75$48 inLost-$47.921144.5%94 W · 117 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under50c72.65$36 inLost-$36.3923660.2%142 W · 94 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over68c71.35$49 inWon+$22.831,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2076…3098backed Under58c60.75$35 inLost-$34.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Under55c54.73$30 inLost-$308237.8%31 W · 51 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Under50c47.9$24 inLost-$23.951533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over41c46.34$19 inWon+$27.348645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Under51c41.25$21 inLost-$20.93658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under52c37.48$19 inLost-$19.4137153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48f3…a1a4backed Over50c36.8$18 inWon+$18.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over57c35.72$20 inWon+$15.364667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+50.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb524…0bd8backed Over42c33$14 inWon+$191040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over48c31.46$15 inWon+$16.465125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Under49c29.47$14 inLost-$14.42339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.