Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fefc646fe3d6548093607bc6611efbbfd3dde721e5d82d40ea42fab91b14a57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 73c | 4,774$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.34 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 75c | 2,380$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.93 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Under | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 1,864$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.88 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 1,439$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.87 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…e4b2backed Over | 77c | 1,355$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 36c | 1,261$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.2 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 1,029$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.67 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 2c | 1,019$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 25c | 899.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 42c | 819.39$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.57 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 58c | 755.29$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.77 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 46c | 739.24$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.05 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 40c | 697.94$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.42 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 38c | 526.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 38c | 521.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 63c | 514.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 3c | 495$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 36c | 400.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.71 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 23c | 376$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 75c | 362.2$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 77c | 337.34$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 77c | 305.7$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 65 | 92.3%60 W · 5 L | +17.6wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over | 37c | 300$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.35 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 65c | 283.4$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.66 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +8.9wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 61c | 276.1$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.74 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 26c | 259$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 32c | 216.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 68c | 171.41$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 217 | 54.4%118 W · 99 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 9c | 166.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 76c | 163.17$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 25c | 151.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Over | 32c | 149.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 40c | 129.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 12c | 124.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 72c | 119.07$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 29c | 114.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 12c | 95.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 54c | 89.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 43c | 65.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Over | 75c | 63.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 24c | 61.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 60.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 59c | 55.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 47.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Over | 61c | 47.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 42c | 43.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 75c | 41.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over | 46c | 41.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…20d5backed Over | 75c | 32.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 75c | 25.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…e383backed Over | 75c | 22.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…9fd7backed Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.