Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x809cee7b4c8b05fade9e87d202db61834cfa99e37849adbf3f015cf012ed361d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,623$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.25 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 871.16$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.56 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 43c | 773.85$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.1 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…9105backed No | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…71e9backed Yes | 56c | 661.67$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 41c | 630.65$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.61 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 618.13$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.61 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 578.72$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.84 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 53c | 487.81$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.78 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Yes | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 49c | 368.16$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.53 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 56c | 356.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked No | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 284$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 245.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.82 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 217.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed No | 45c | 191.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7997…5e4bbacked Yes | 57c | 171$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 43c | 160.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 146.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…fd5ebacked Yes | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 53c | 139.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 56c | 121.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Yes | 57c | 115.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 50c | 114.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Yes | 54c | 110.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 54c | 107.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 44c | 102.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 44c | 88.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 28c | 78.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…696cbacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 55c | 60.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 44c | 59.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 43c | 55.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…b0c4backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 53c | 48.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 48c | 48.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 39c | 44.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 48c | 37.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed No | 49c | 32.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 55c | 30.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 53c | 30.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…29e4backed Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 57c | 20.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.